refzer
32Proven trader0x4b2fe2f4a4e352534d7c02f3ed2f772bb8a11627· stats updated 2d ago
Realized PnL
+$24,846
closed + open positions
Return on capital
1%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
95%
61 of 64 resolved
Resolved markets
64
Portfolio value
$77,701
Capital deployed
$2,861,336
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$58,359
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
3
Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)
PnL 0.0/30Return 0.7/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 12.4/20Concentration -6.1Total 32.0 / 100
Current positions
| Market | Outcome | Avg price | Value | Unrealized PnL | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 94.8¢ | $42,991 | +$1,405 | Trade ↗ |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 99.3¢ | $32,811 | -$76 | Trade ↗ |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 90.0¢ | $1,899 | -$11 | Trade ↗ |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? | Down | 3.7¢ | $0 | -$10 | Trade ↗ |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Spain | 21.7¢ | $0 | -$50 | Trade ↗ |
Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)
| Time | Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BUY | No | 99.4¢ | $11,060 |
| 5d ago | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BUY | No | 99.3¢ | $21,233 |
| 19d ago | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | No | 96.9¢ | $26,066 |
WhaleWatcher