0x49F206

67Qualified whaleProven trader

0x49f206f4fb2210a28af4795e4e0b6532cf0bd7b4· stats updated 12h ago

Realized PnL

+$198,393

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$84,417

Capital deployed

$3,287,823

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$46,272

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

500

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 16.9/30Return 5.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 66.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?	No	94.4¢	$9,520	+$75	Trade ↗
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	65.5¢	$3,680	+$1,060	Trade ↗
Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	87.0¢	$3,420	-$60	Trade ↗
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	75.6¢	$2,707	-$194	Trade ↗
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	35.0¢	$2,501	-$192	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	92.9¢	$1,976	+$109	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	60.0¢	$1,836	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	No	28.1¢	$1,376	-$320	Trade ↗
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	90.1¢	$1,231	-$97	Trade ↗
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	No	81.0¢	$1,230	-$64	Trade ↗
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?	No	89.9¢	$1,124	-$79	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	No	57.2¢	$1,111	-$420	Trade ↗
Will Drake release a new album by December 31?	No	86.6¢	$1,101	-$41	Trade ↗
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	88.9¢	$1,001	-$105	Trade ↗
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	81.0¢	$960	-$56	Trade ↗
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	No	43.4¢	$915	-$173	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	56.1¢	$914	-$252	Trade ↗
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)	Gen.G	69.0¢	$858	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	85.0¢	$844	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?	No	90.6¢	$830	+$2	Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	83.0¢	$688	+$77	Trade ↗
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	66.0¢	$687	+$25	Trade ↗
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	88.9¢	$684	-$41	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	9.2¢	$672	+$183	Trade ↗
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	48.3¢	$651	-$95	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	53.0¢	$650	-$75	Trade ↗
Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	84.0¢	$640	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	76.0¢	$603	-$1,093	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	58.0¢	$594	-$75	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	No	46.4¢	$585	-$32	Trade ↗
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	82.0¢	$572	-$4	Trade ↗
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	No	67.1¢	$515	-$12	Trade ↗
Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	80.0¢	$503	+$15	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	36.0¢	$501	-$221	Trade ↗
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	No	76.8¢	$496	-$5	Trade ↗
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	48.8¢	$488	-$47	Trade ↗
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	74.0¢	$485	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	No	77.0¢	$476	+$37	Trade ↗
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	No	83.0¢	$452	-$17	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	86.1¢	$449	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	Yes	12.5¢	$442	+$344	Trade ↗
Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	96.0¢	$442	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	92.3¢	$419	+$5	Trade ↗
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	No	93.4¢	$416	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	46.0¢	$408	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Japan win Group F at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	72.0¢	$395	+$35	Trade ↗
Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	29.5¢	$386	+$149	Trade ↗
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	74.1¢	$366	+$33	Trade ↗
Will South Korea win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	33.0¢	$353	-$56	Trade ↗
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?	No	92.4¢	$353	+$12	Trade ↗
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	No	71.0¢	$350	+$23	Trade ↗
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No	86.0¢	$350	-$36	Trade ↗
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	72.8¢	$349	-$278	Trade ↗
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	38.5¢	$347	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Fjord win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	89.0¢	$333	+$18	Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	49.8¢	$328	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?	No	77.0¢	$321	-$25	Trade ↗
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	Yes	27.4¢	$320	+$73	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?	No	64.5¢	$304	-$118	Trade ↗
Will Saba win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	93.0¢	$303	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?	No	89.6¢	$303	+$22	Trade ↗
Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Kane	47.0¢	$303	+$134	Trade ↗
Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?	Yes	55.0¢	$302	+$28	Trade ↗
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	0.9¢	$300	+$272	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	88.5¢	$288	+$6	Trade ↗
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	21.6¢	$279	+$176	Trade ↗
Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	89.0¢	$276	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	57.0¢	$264	-$50	Trade ↗
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	22.5¢	$263	+$168	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	45.0¢	$262	+$62	Trade ↗
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	82.0¢	$256	+$6	Trade ↗
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	64.0¢	$256	-$31	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	Yes	12.0¢	$250	+$141	Trade ↗
Will Paper Trail win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	77.6¢	$247	+$36	Trade ↗
Will "Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	80.0¢	$245	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Parker Posey be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	79.0¢	$241	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	11.1¢	$240	+$113	Trade ↗
Will "Saba" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	77.0¢	$236	+$1	Trade ↗
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	48.4¢	$236	-$188	Trade ↗
Will Steven Spielberg be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	92.0¢	$230	+$10	Trade ↗
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of December 2026?	No	75.0¢	$228	-$35	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	60.0¢	$222	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	0.9¢	$220	+$211	Trade ↗
Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	35.0¢	$215	-$135	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?	Yes	90.0¢	$215	+$16	Trade ↗
Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	94.0¢	$211	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	80.0¢	$206	+$7	Trade ↗
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	36.0¢	$205	-$96	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	86.6¢	$204	+$15	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	71.0¢	$203	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?	No	91.3¢	$196	+$14	Trade ↗
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	56.5¢	$196	-$91	Trade ↗
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	92.9¢	$193	+$3	Trade ↗
Will "Magan's Fare" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	79.0¢	$191	-$50	Trade ↗
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?	No	64.1¢	$191	-$0	Trade ↗
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	No	65.9¢	$188	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Sense and Sensibility win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	78.0¢	$188	+$34	Trade ↗
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?	Yes	28.8¢	$188	-$203	Trade ↗
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	No	67.4¢	$186	-$120	Trade ↗
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	26.9¢	$184	-$442	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
6d ago	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	SELL	No	87.0¢	$10,701
12d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	Yes	86.4¢	$17,271
17d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	85.5¢	$18,300