ZnotluvuiSamez

0x288999fc80af0b29cd5b22fc1c2b8987db3b9226· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

-$266,012

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-5%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

52%

13 of 25 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$41,975

Capital deployed

$4,895,693

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$40,990

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 1.3/25Sample size 6.1/20Concentration -9.1Total 0.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	13.1¢	$29,487	-$169,139	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	13.3¢	$12,323	-$47,081	Trade ↗
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Yes	5.9¢	$139	-$468	Trade ↗
Russia coup attempt in 2026?	Yes	12.2¢	$14	-$36	Trade ↗
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	8.2¢	$11	-$9	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	Yes	2.4¢	$0	-$547	Trade ↗
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	No	40.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	10.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" this week?	No	9.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?	Yes	8.1¢	$0	-$1,867	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 26?	Yes	3.2¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	3.4¢	$0	-$591	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	55.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	25.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	VP.Prodigy	54.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$80	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	12.7¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	85.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	No	31.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Oman" this week?	No	54.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	56.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
18d ago	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SELL	Yes	2.9¢	$16,699
38d ago	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SELL	Yes	5.0¢	$12,332
45d ago	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SELL	Yes	6.0¢	$11,960