lomneivan

53Qualified whaleProven trader

0x1fee90f352fd362ea4bf13c6ed7cdd83a4d2ed5e· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$266,628

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

79%

46 of 58 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$1,150,092

Capital deployed

$6,474,913

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$216,151

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 19.3/30Return 3.4/25Consistency 18.3/25Sample size 11.7/20Concentration 0.0Total 52.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	86.1¢	$169,962	-$11,862	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	69.5¢	$117,147	-$15,209	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	9.0¢	$102,925	+$65,116	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	85.5¢	$97,653	-$6,136	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	49.7¢	$90,250	-$47,850	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	70.0¢	$84,327	-$11,731	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	60.0¢	$81,321	-$18,699	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	44.6¢	$72,701	-$33,530	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	59.6¢	$70,967	-$15,365	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	43.9¢	$60,360	-$26,577	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	56.6¢	$59,967	+$411	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	38.7¢	$38,915	-$7,413	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	68.0¢	$29,474	+$2,206	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	58.3¢	$27,715	-$387	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	32.3¢	$27,023	+$1,323	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	34.0¢	$5,641	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	20.5¢	$5,430	-$4,089	Trade ↗
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	64.1¢	$2,662	+$371	Trade ↗
Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?	No	30.9¢	$2,292	+$375	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	28.0¢	$1,125	-$1,395	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	27.7¢	$1,125	-$1,369	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	9.0¢	$630	-$37,179	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?	No	83.0¢	$252	-$47	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?	Yes	83.0¢	$181	-$34	Trade ↗
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	9.5¢	$41	-$7,859	Trade ↗
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	6.1¢	$6	-$696	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	62.0¢	$0	-$713	Trade ↗
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?	No	71.4¢	$0	-$6,716	Trade ↗
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	38.7¢	$0	-$15,827	Trade ↗
Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$39	Trade ↗
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$688	Trade ↗
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$39	Trade ↗
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?	Yes	14.9¢	$0	-$896	Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	43.2¢	$0	-$7,557	Trade ↗
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 6% and 9%?	Yes	69.5¢	$0	-$296	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$43	Trade ↗
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?	No	15.4¢	$0	-$27,511	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$91	Trade ↗
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	9.3¢	$0	-$769	Trade ↗
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?	No	65.0¢	$0	-$153	Trade ↗
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	54.0¢	$0	-$71,820	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
31d ago	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	BUY	Yes	68.0¢	$27,269
31d ago	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	BUY	Yes	32.1¢	$22,158
31d ago	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	SELL	Yes	72.2¢	$17,615
34d ago	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	BUY	No	73.0¢	$13,906
34d ago	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$21,041
35d ago	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	BUY	No	46.0¢	$11,960
36d ago	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$12,956
43d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	79.0¢	$49,563
45d ago	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	SELL	Yes	71.0¢	$14,038
45d ago	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	BUY	Yes	65.0¢	$12,071
72d ago	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	SELL	No	90.0¢	$13,574