Brokie

74Qualified whaleProven trader

0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$821,784

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$417,387

Capital deployed

$23,938,650

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$25,493

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 28.4/30Return 2.9/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -2.0Total 74.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	48.6¢	$146,279	-$15,055	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	92.4¢	$63,784	+$3,452	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$45,281	+$44,116	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	84.7¢	$29,031	+$3,835	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	46.9¢	$20,359	+$6,218	Trade ↗
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	Yes	62.1¢	$10,725	+$1,412	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	56.0¢	$10,467	+$1,518	Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$9,424	+$8,121	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$9,424	+$8,227	Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$7,693	+$6,457	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$5,967	+$4,763	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	56.0¢	$5,653	+$783	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$5,473	+$4,276	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	17.5¢	$4,350	-$900	Trade ↗
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$4,104	+$2,907	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	45.0¢	$3,325	+$1,075	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.0¢	$2,904	+$2,789	Trade ↗
New pandemic in 2026?	No	89.0¢	$2,767	+$195	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16.2¢	$2,694	-$2,016	Trade ↗
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$2,552	+$1,296	Trade ↗
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$1,672	+$475	Trade ↗
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$1,276	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	5.3¢	$1,169	+$679	Trade ↗
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$1,117	-$139	Trade ↗
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$1,078	-$135	Trade ↗
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$1,067	-$133	Trade ↗
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$1,064	-$133	Trade ↗
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$1,064	-$133	Trade ↗
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$1,064	-$133	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	27.4¢	$981	-$867	Trade ↗
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.5¢	$846	-$757	Trade ↗
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$798	-$458	Trade ↗
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$790	-$454	Trade ↗
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$760	-$437	Trade ↗
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$760	-$437	Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	87.0¢	$657	+$64	Trade ↗
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	71.0¢	$480	+$125	Trade ↗
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$479	-$777	Trade ↗
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$479	-$777	Trade ↗
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$479	-$777	Trade ↗
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$479	-$777	Trade ↗
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$479	-$777	Trade ↗
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$456	-$741	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$456	-$741	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$456	-$741	Trade ↗
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$456	-$741	Trade ↗
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$456	-$741	Trade ↗
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$456	-$741	Trade ↗
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$456	-$741	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	29.3¢	$340	-$2,585	Trade ↗
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$319	-$937	Trade ↗
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$304	-$893	Trade ↗
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	55.0¢	$252	-$78	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	29.0¢	$237	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$160	-$1,096	Trade ↗
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$160	-$1,096	Trade ↗
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$152	-$1,045	Trade ↗
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$152	-$1,045	Trade ↗
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$152	-$1,045	Trade ↗
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$152	-$1,045	Trade ↗
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$152	-$1,045	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4.0¢	$108	-$93	Trade ↗
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$72	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	0.4¢	$70	-$10	Trade ↗
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	17.0¢	$42	-$975	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	66.0¢	$39	-$424	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	16.0¢	$27	+$8	Trade ↗
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	40.0¢	$14	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	2.9¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?	No	4.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	Yes	12.4¢	$0	-$225	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	24.0¢	$0	-$720	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	38.5¢	$0	-$1,793	Trade ↗
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	12.5¢	$0	-$1,250	Trade ↗
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	3.5¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.9¢	$0	-$95	Trade ↗
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?	No	26.5¢	$0	-$3,473	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?	Yes	3.7¢	$0	-$208	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	9.9¢	$0	-$495	Trade ↗
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	6.4¢	$0	-$1,929	Trade ↗
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	68.0¢	$0	-$3,400	Trade ↗
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	27.2¢	$0	-$37	Trade ↗
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Bears vs. 49ers	Bears	37.0¢	$0	-$185	Trade ↗
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 7?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	13.0¢	$0	-$963	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$3,000	Trade ↗
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?	Yes	3.2¢	$0	-$160	Trade ↗
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$24	Trade ↗
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech?	No	25.0¢	$0	-$42	Trade ↗
Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	Yes	12.7¢	$0	-$80	Trade ↗
Megaquake by August 31?	No	6.0¢	$0	-$600	Trade ↗
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	4.9¢	$0	-$245	Trade ↗
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 21?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
74d ago	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	BUY	No	99.8¢	$25,493