Brokie

76Qualified whaleProven trader

0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855· stats updated 4d ago

Realized PnL

+$979,541

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$465,586

Capital deployed

$24,221,162

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$25,493

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 29.8/30Return 3.4/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -2.2Total 76.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	48.6¢	$167,010	+$5,676	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	92.4¢	$63,392	+$3,061	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$59,191	+$56,879	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	84.7¢	$38,659	+$4,725	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	46.9¢	$22,355	+$1,182	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	92.0¢	$9,830	+$630	Trade ↗
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	Yes	62.1¢	$9,825	+$512	Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$9,733	+$7,244	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	56.0¢	$9,509	+$559	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$7,752	+$5,377	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$6,273	+$3,883	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$5,625	+$3,250	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	56.0¢	$5,174	+$304	Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$5,024	+$2,571	Trade ↗
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$2,889	+$513	Trade ↗
New pandemic in 2026?	No	89.0¢	$2,731	+$159	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	45.0¢	$2,525	+$275	Trade ↗
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$2,280	-$95	Trade ↗
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$2,213	-$257	Trade ↗
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$2,074	-$419	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16.2¢	$2,068	-$2,642	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.0¢	$1,508	+$1,393	Trade ↗
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$1,436	-$1,057	Trade ↗
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$1,386	-$1,020	Trade ↗
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$1,216	-$1,159	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	5.3¢	$1,215	+$725	Trade ↗
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$1,067	-$1,315	Trade ↗
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$1,064	-$1,311	Trade ↗
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$1,064	-$1,311	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	27.4¢	$974	-$873	Trade ↗
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$912	-$1,463	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	73.0¢	$893	-$45	Trade ↗
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$846	-$1,988	Trade ↗
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$798	-$1,695	Trade ↗
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$798	-$1,695	Trade ↗
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$760	-$1,615	Trade ↗
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$760	-$1,615	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$760	-$1,615	Trade ↗
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$760	-$1,615	Trade ↗
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$760	-$1,615	Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	87.0¢	$652	+$59	Trade ↗
Trump on $250 bill this year?	No	90.0¢	$646	+$47	Trade ↗
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes	42.7¢	$641	+$339	Trade ↗
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$608	-$1,767	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	29.3¢	$550	-$2,375	Trade ↗
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$479	-$2,014	Trade ↗
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$479	-$2,014	Trade ↗
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$479	-$2,014	Trade ↗
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$479	-$2,014	Trade ↗
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$479	-$2,014	Trade ↗
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	71.0¢	$461	+$106	Trade ↗
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$456	-$1,919	Trade ↗
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$456	-$1,919	Trade ↗
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$456	-$1,919	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$456	-$1,919	Trade ↗
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$456	-$1,919	Trade ↗
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$456	-$1,919	Trade ↗
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$456	-$1,919	Trade ↗
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$456	-$1,919	Trade ↗
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	Yes	77.0¢	$177	-$73	Trade ↗
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$160	-$2,333	Trade ↗
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$160	-$2,333	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4.0¢	$103	-$98	Trade ↗
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	17.0¢	$87	-$930	Trade ↗
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$71	-$8	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	66.0¢	$46	-$417	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	16.0¢	$35	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	0.4¢	$30	-$50	Trade ↗
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	40.0¢	$12	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	2.9¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	59.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	24.0¢	$0	-$720	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	38.5¢	$0	-$1,793	Trade ↗
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech?	No	25.0¢	$0	-$42	Trade ↗
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	12.5¢	$0	-$1,250	Trade ↗
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1.9¢	$0	-$95	Trade ↗
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?	Yes	3.2¢	$0	-$160	Trade ↗
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?	No	26.5¢	$0	-$3,473	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	9.9¢	$0	-$495	Trade ↗
Bears vs. 49ers	Bears	37.0¢	$0	-$185	Trade ↗
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	7.2¢	$0	-$2,156	Trade ↗
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	68.0¢	$0	-$3,400	Trade ↗
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	27.2¢	$0	-$37	Trade ↗
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 7?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	13.0¢	$0	-$963	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$3,000	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?	Yes	3.7¢	$0	-$208	Trade ↗
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$24	Trade ↗
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	3.5¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	Yes	12.7¢	$0	-$80	Trade ↗
Megaquake by August 31?	No	6.0¢	$0	-$600	Trade ↗
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	4.9¢	$0	-$245	Trade ↗
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 21?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
28d ago	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	BUY	No	99.8¢	$25,493