firegold

57Qualified whaleProven trader

0x1d5f88f1b97317cccad804374e5bd847512e634d· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$97,244

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

81%

404 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$99,539

Capital deployed

$1,171,487

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,349

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 11.1/30Return 6.9/25Consistency 19.3/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.1Total 57.2 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	76.0¢	$25,143	+$5,747	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	65.5¢	$22,440	+$6,727	Trade ↗
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	83.6¢	$17,696	+$2,430	Trade ↗
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	81.3¢	$7,461	+$1,194	Trade ↗
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	63.2¢	$4,587	+$233	Trade ↗
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	73.9¢	$3,568	+$687	Trade ↗
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	75.0¢	$2,901	+$197	Trade ↗
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	76.5¢	$2,555	-$3,556	Trade ↗
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	76.7¢	$2,534	+$75	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	85.6¢	$2,137	-$3	Trade ↗
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	86.9¢	$1,631	+$48	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	59.1¢	$1,429	+$318	Trade ↗
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	60.9¢	$917	-$30	Trade ↗
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	90.6¢	$915	+$9	Trade ↗
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	54.0¢	$907	+$357	Trade ↗
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	13.0¢	$525	-$125	Trade ↗
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	95.4¢	$487	+$10	Trade ↗
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	61.7¢	$433	+$120	Trade ↗
UK Recession in 2026?	No	87.0¢	$318	+$27	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	91.7¢	$245	+$16	Trade ↗
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	Yes	78.0¢	$239	+$5	Trade ↗
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	No	84.9¢	$205	+$25	Trade ↗
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?	No	56.0¢	$141	+$30	Trade ↗
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	61.1¢	$92	-$15	Trade ↗
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	23.0¢	$33	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?	Yes	34.5¢	$0	-$276	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?	Yes	50.1¢	$0	-$923	Trade ↗
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	Yes	27.1¢	$0	-$61	Trade ↗
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in June?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$18	Trade ↗
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	36.3¢	$0	-$137	Trade ↗
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	20.7¢	$0	-$83	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?	No	71.2¢	$0	-$142	Trade ↗
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?	Yes	35.2¢	$0	-$373	Trade ↗
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?	Yes	75.0¢	$0	-$105	Trade ↗
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	Yes	40.0¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
Will PPI YoY be 6.2% in June?	Yes	17.6¢	$0	-$27	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	Yes	31.0¢	$0	-$176	Trade ↗
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	22.0¢	$0	-$22	Trade ↗
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?	Yes	53.3¢	$0	-$207	Trade ↗
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	24.0¢	$0	-$48	Trade ↗
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	28.6¢	$0	-$70	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	Yes	16.7¢	$0	-$249	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	No	48.3¢	$0	-$1,121	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	68.0¢	$0	-$677	Trade ↗
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	79.9¢	$0	-$938	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 June 1-7?	No	66.0¢	$0	-$83	Trade ↗
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	30.7¢	$0	-$110	Trade ↗
Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?	No	19.0¢	$0	-$18	Trade ↗
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	Yes	26.3¢	$0	-$47	Trade ↗
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	45.7¢	$0	-$661	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	No	74.4¢	$0	-$1,772	Trade ↗
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?	Yes	41.0¢	$0	-$336	Trade ↗
Will PPI YoY be 6.1% in June?	Yes	5.6¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May?	Yes	29.0¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?	No	79.0¢	$0	-$632	Trade ↗
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	34.5¢	$0	-$138	Trade ↗
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?	Yes	33.7¢	$0	-$203	Trade ↗
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	Yes	29.0¢	$0	-$87	Trade ↗
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?	Yes	15.5¢	$0	-$31	Trade ↗
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?	Yes	72.0¢	$0	-$144	Trade ↗
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?	No	38.0¢	$0	-$190	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?	No	33.3¢	$0	-$951	Trade ↗
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in April?	Yes	24.8¢	$0	-$73	Trade ↗
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?	Yes	68.5¢	$0	-$716	Trade ↗
Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	Yes	38.2¢	$0	-$535	Trade ↗
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	76.6¢	$0	-$528	Trade ↗
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	59.0¢	$0	-$413	Trade ↗
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	Yes	31.0¢	$0	-$22	Trade ↗
Will the US Trade Deficit be between $60 billion and $70 billion in June 2026?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	Yes	31.6¢	$0	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	No	42.0¢	$0	-$147	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$54	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7?	No	69.3¢	$0	-$208	Trade ↗
Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September?	Yes	17.1¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?	No	87.1¢	$0	-$87	Trade ↗
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in August?	Yes	28.7¢	$0	-$252	Trade ↗
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in June?	Yes	40.0¢	$0	-$160	Trade ↗
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?	Yes	54.3¢	$0	-$650	Trade ↗
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in May?	Yes	33.5¢	$0	-$19	Trade ↗
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	62.0¢	$0	-$93	Trade ↗
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?	Yes	35.0¢	$0	-$140	Trade ↗
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	Yes	22.1¢	$0	-$51	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	Yes	44.8¢	$0	-$224	Trade ↗
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in June?	Yes	8.5¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	34.9¢	$0	-$396	Trade ↗
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in August?	Yes	21.9¢	$0	-$45	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in September?	No	11.4¢	$0	-$37	Trade ↗
Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?	Yes	29.6¢	$0	-$47	Trade ↗
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?	Yes	32.3¢	$0	-$99	Trade ↗
Will PPI YoY be 6.4% in June?	Yes	12.0¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?	Yes	53.7¢	$0	-$576	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	85.9¢	$0	-$859	Trade ↗
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?	Yes	32.0¢	$0	-$96	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	19.0¢	$0	-$67	Trade ↗
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July?	Yes	8.6¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?	Yes	39.4¢	$0	-$380	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 22-28?	No	70.8¢	$0	-$566	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$33	Trade ↗
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in August?	Yes	27.7¢	$0	-$57	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
19d ago	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	86.3¢	$11,349