Valen9

85Qualified whaleProven traderSpecialist

0x162f6fff88a52864f2ecc9833e58089d5254798d· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,303,236

closed + open positions

Return on capital

12%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$621,840

Capital deployed

$11,269,910

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$248,173

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 9.6/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 84.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	87.9¢	$92,415	+$3,606	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	91.9¢	$67,512	+$445	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	88.4¢	$53,683	+$2,074	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	84.8¢	$49,030	-$1,371	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	53.7¢	$21,969	+$4,232	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	69.8¢	$21,232	-$2,675	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	79.7¢	$19,877	+$687	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	90.6¢	$19,620	+$196	Trade ↗
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	97.3¢	$19,550	+$95	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	65.1¢	$18,973	-$11,175	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	83.2¢	$16,049	-$1,405	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	71.5¢	$15,923	+$425	Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	69.6¢	$14,725	+$1,505	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	88.9¢	$13,990	-$141	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	75.1¢	$13,477	+$902	Trade ↗
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	88.1¢	$12,032	+$183	Trade ↗
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	88.8¢	$11,448	-$98	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?	Yes	93.8¢	$8,822	+$211	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	86.3¢	$8,627	-$133	Trade ↗
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	72.0¢	$7,466	+$154	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	49.1¢	$7,312	+$2,615	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	87.4¢	$7,122	-$158	Trade ↗
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	58.2¢	$6,473	+$1,905	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	64.5¢	$6,345	+$535	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?	No	94.3¢	$5,902	+$112	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	28.9¢	$5,554	-$6,332	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	36.2¢	$5,264	-$1,549	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	13.8¢	$5,208	+$1,694	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	57.4¢	$5,175	-$565	Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	77.0¢	$4,893	+$273	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	58.0¢	$4,668	+$1,366	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	37.8¢	$4,593	+$79	Trade ↗
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	88.0¢	$4,575	+$175	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	88.8¢	$4,315	+$217	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	88.7¢	$4,281	+$112	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	45.4¢	$3,990	-$1,117	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	38.0¢	$3,850	+$50	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	13.9¢	$3,676	+$1,063	Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	26.0¢	$2,550	-$50	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	52.0¢	$2,025	+$465	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Yes	29.0¢	$1,854	-$2,132	Trade ↗
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?	No	81.0¢	$1,773	+$103	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	33.4¢	$1,722	-$1,084	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	88.1¢	$1,628	-$11	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	40.0¢	$1,550	-$450	Trade ↗
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	No	72.4¢	$1,451	+$277	Trade ↗
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	13.0¢	$1,432	+$148	Trade ↗
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?	Yes	21.8¢	$1,415	-$956	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	78.0¢	$695	+$103	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	25.2¢	$565	-$130	Trade ↗
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	72.9¢	$532	+$106	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	14.0¢	$488	-$1,438	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.2¢	$481	-$65	Trade ↗
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?	No	64.0¢	$435	+$115	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	15.6¢	$431	-$659	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	No	93.6¢	$372	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	3.5¢	$170	-$5	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	14.0¢	$168	-$533	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	3.5¢	$165	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	88.0¢	$117	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	74.9¢	$77	+$10	Trade ↗
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	12.0¢	$58	+$6	Trade ↗
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	Yes	39.0¢	$30	-$94	Trade ↗
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	Yes	18.9¢	$30	-$600	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	76.9¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	25.0¢	$4	+$1	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	22.0¢	$3	-$25	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Yes	27.0¢	$0	-$540	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	Yes	6.7¢	$0	-$682	Trade ↗
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	49.9¢	$0	-$9,831	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$4,528	Trade ↗
Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)	Cloud9	41.0¢	$0	-$8,200	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	5.8¢	$0	-$1,507	Trade ↗
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	No	16.8¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner	Cloud9	44.0¢	$0	-$4,400	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	25.9¢	$0	-$19,220	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	7.1¢	$0	-$344	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
12d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	83.0¢	$16,600
14d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	83.0¢	$20,246
29d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$11,097
32d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$17,200
33d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	No	84.0¢	$16,800
43d ago	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	SELL	Yes	86.5¢	$31,222
43d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$16,800
43d ago	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	SELL	Yes	87.0¢	$13,050
43d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$10,430
43d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$15,578
44d ago	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	SELL	No	86.4¢	$15,621
55d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	86.0¢	$17,200
62d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	83.0¢	$15,698
75d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	82.0¢	$20,500
79d ago	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	SELL	No	97.5¢	$10,130