Valen9

85Qualified whaleProven trader

0x162f6fff88a52864f2ecc9833e58089d5254798d· stats updated 14h ago

Realized PnL

+$1,248,522

closed + open positions

Return on capital

12%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$472,775

Capital deployed

$10,640,595

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$63,528

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 9.8/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 84.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	84.3¢	$69,505	+$2,513	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.7¢	$68,940	+$1,488	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	83.9¢	$44,115	+$1,306	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	85.9¢	$37,053	+$3,979	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	81.8¢	$24,642	+$2,108	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	69.5¢	$21,715	-$2	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	62.4¢	$19,546	+$914	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	47.8¢	$16,905	+$908	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	73.5¢	$15,817	+$2,529	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	83.8¢	$14,571	-$788	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	30.4¢	$12,772	-$14,041	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	75.1¢	$12,589	-$103	Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	69.1¢	$11,760	+$700	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	66.9¢	$9,013	+$1,184	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	85.0¢	$8,033	+$139	Trade ↗
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	58.2¢	$6,551	+$1,984	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	89.5¢	$6,047	-$10,100	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	64.5¢	$5,985	+$175	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	50.2¢	$5,649	+$27	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	76.0¢	$5,156	+$519	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	50.0¢	$4,950	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	77.0¢	$4,830	+$210	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	84.6¢	$4,714	+$308	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	58.0¢	$4,241	+$939	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	94.5¢	$4,016	+$173	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	32.9¢	$3,228	-$7,942	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	40.2¢	$2,989	-$15,479	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	14.0¢	$2,720	+$94	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Yes	29.7¢	$2,648	-$1,191	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	86.0¢	$2,643	+$75	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	85.0¢	$2,565	+$15	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	64.0¢	$1,965	+$45	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	33.4¢	$1,890	-$916	Trade ↗
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	No	72.4¢	$1,879	+$384	Trade ↗
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	No	85.0¢	$1,770	+$70	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	52.0¢	$1,575	+$15	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	26.0¢	$1,450	+$150	Trade ↗
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	88.3¢	$1,127	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	No	83.0¢	$1,112	+$103	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	11.0¢	$679	-$3,849	Trade ↗
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?	Yes	31.2¢	$647	-$906	Trade ↗
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	72.9¢	$553	+$127	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	14.0¢	$425	-$275	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	35.0¢	$423	-$6	Trade ↗
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?	No	64.0¢	$285	-$35	Trade ↗
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	Yes	18.9¢	$135	-$495	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	83.4¢	$127	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	88.0¢	$116	+$8	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	64.0¢	$110	+$16	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	Yes	13.0¢	$105	+$7	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	3.9¢	$96	-$7,416	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	No	95.0¢	$88	+$4	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	30.0¢	$86	-$217	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Yes	27.0¢	$63	-$477	Trade ↗
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	Yes	39.0¢	$43	-$81	Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	36.0¢	$38	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	7.1¢	$34	-$310	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	Yes	19.0¢	$26	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	85.0¢	$13	+$0	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	45.0¢	$5	-$1	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	76.9¢	$4	-$0	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	70.0¢	$0	-$1,593	Trade ↗
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	Yes	18.0¢	$0	-$360	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	9.3¢	$0	-$1,971	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
10d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	86.0¢	$17,200
16d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	83.0¢	$15,698
29d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	82.0¢	$20,500
33d ago	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	SELL	No	97.5¢	$10,130