laureman

30Proven trader

0x1359911d098bf507069e7e22370e6f6cae3f092e· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$5,263

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

69%

112 of 163 resolved

Resolved markets

163

Portfolio value

$72,734

Capital deployed

$1,926,101

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$38,428

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.2/25Consistency 11.7/25Sample size 18.6/20Concentration -0.7Total 29.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	84.5¢	$20,875	-$242	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	94.2¢	$15,300	+$527	Trade ↗
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	80.4¢	$12,691	+$401	Trade ↗
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	92.8¢	$5,718	+$157	Trade ↗
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	81.9¢	$4,751	+$709	Trade ↗
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	No	98.1¢	$3,696	+$4	Trade ↗
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	No	96.1¢	$2,713	+$25	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	68.0¢	$1,770	-$270	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	87.0¢	$1,259	-$102	Trade ↗
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	71.5¢	$1,148	-$16	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	46.1¢	$1,069	-$428	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	77.2¢	$789	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	77.3¢	$244	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	96.8¢	$182	+$2	Trade ↗
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?	No	84.0¢	$129	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	70.0¢	$125	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	97.5¢	$124	-$1	Trade ↗
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	60.7¢	$95	-$793	Trade ↗
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	85.0¢	$29	+$2	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	93.0¢	$26	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	74.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
12d ago	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	BUY	Yes	98.1¢	$11,907
13d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	82.0¢	$26,521