Lastworld13

0x0c18cf122dce8556302ff496affe379097aba04c· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

-$16,389

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-1%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

34%

108 of 318 resolved

Resolved markets

318

Portfolio value

$24,975

Capital deployed

$1,388,366

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$19,030

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 0.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.3Total 19.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	33.3¢	$6,581	+$2,806	Trade ↗
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	23.8¢	$6,544	+$436	Trade ↗
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	23.0¢	$4,735	+$63	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	53.5¢	$1,450	-$150	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	16.0¢	$1,230	+$37	Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	37.1¢	$841	+$41	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	39.0¢	$455	-$45	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	26.2¢	$446	-$52	Trade ↗
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	3.8¢	$423	+$49	Trade ↗
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	20.7¢	$357	+$13	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	20.8¢	$297	-$19	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.125T by September 30?	Yes	15.1¢	$231	-$10	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	13.4¢	$198	-$24	Trade ↗
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	9.9¢	$184	-$62	Trade ↗
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	7.9¢	$182	+$2	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	13.0¢	$181	-$67	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	13.5¢	$156	+$29	Trade ↗
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	8.4¢	$110	-$105	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	11.0¢	$105	-$49	Trade ↗
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	Yes	13.3¢	$91	-$6	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.275T by September 30?	Yes	5.0¢	$54	$0	Trade ↗
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?	Yes	4.6¢	$46	-$202	Trade ↗
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes	2.3¢	$46	-$3	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	36.0¢	$27	-$215	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	19.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	8.4¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	13.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	37.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	33.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	7.7¢	$0	-$41	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
10d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	SELL	Yes	71.0¢	$19,030