JSG3

0x0191d054a638baf04c1002fc1e11b0978dd0541d· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$18,986

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

80%

12 of 15 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$78,282

Capital deployed

$357,370

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$83,976

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 4.4/25Consistency 18.8/25Sample size 2.7/20Concentration -6.0Total 19.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	69.0¢	$42,900	+$1,500	Trade ↗
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	87.2¢	$9,448	-$993	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	68.6¢	$6,574	-$311	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	85.0¢	$4,125	-$125	Trade ↗
Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	77.6¢	$3,095	-$140	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	74.2¢	$2,998	+$31	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	69.2¢	$2,625	+$237	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	19.4¢	$1,814	+$7	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	63.0¢	$1,453	-$676	Trade ↗
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	84.8¢	$1,067	+$103	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	19.0¢	$879	+$23	Trade ↗
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?	Yes	78.0¢	$836	+$135	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	No	24.0¢	$401	-$201	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	23.0¢	$65	-$25	Trade ↗
Will Josh Hoover win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	1.4¢	$3	-$0	Trade ↗
Spread: Oregon (-3.5)	USC	50.2¢	$0	-$291	Trade ↗
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	46.0¢	$0	-$920	Trade ↗
Auburn vs. Georgia	Georgia	74.3¢	$0	-$871	Trade ↗
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	49.0¢	$0	-$245	Trade ↗
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	72.2¢	$0	-$4,814	Trade ↗
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees	Boston Red Sox	46.0¢	$0	-$230	Trade ↗
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?	No	37.3¢	$0	-$313	Trade ↗
Spread: Penn State (-9.5)	Penn State	53.0¢	$0	-$303	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
34d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	98.0¢	$53,876
39d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	86.0¢	$30,100