Fulgurator

45Proven trader

0x01309d49fd508ba7b2379967bdc7197e5b47274c· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$21,491

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

89%

85 of 96 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$74,411

Capital deployed

$313,395

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$24,400

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 5.7/25Consistency 24.1/25Sample size 15.1/20Concentration 0.0Total 44.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	90.8¢	$12,623	+$813	Trade ↗
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	37.4¢	$11,028	+$6,085	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	35.4¢	$8,186	+$4,753	Trade ↗
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	No	54.6¢	$5,064	+$1,188	Trade ↗
Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?	No	96.1¢	$5,057	+$181	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	42.0¢	$3,655	+$85	Trade ↗
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$3,533	+$137	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	58.7¢	$3,163	+$813	Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	No	85.0¢	$2,805	+$255	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NY-19 House seat?	No	94.0¢	$2,478	+$53	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	81.8¢	$1,838	-$208	Trade ↗
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Yes	66.4¢	$1,588	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	72.9¢	$1,526	+$186	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-19 House seat?	Yes	94.0¢	$1,114	+$24	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?	Yes	91.7¢	$1,108	+$54	Trade ↗
Will seltzers with 5mg THC be legal on November 13, 2026?	Yes	84.5¢	$997	+$133	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	34.4¢	$917	+$539	Trade ↗
Weed rescheduled by December 31?	No	90.4¢	$857	-$5	Trade ↗
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	No	59.0¢	$830	+$82	Trade ↗
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	84.6¢	$712	+$39	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	7.4¢	$660	-$82	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	18.9¢	$595	-$271	Trade ↗
WHOOP IPO before 2027?	No	88.2¢	$497	+$54	Trade ↗
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	90.8¢	$450	+$33	Trade ↗
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by October 31?	No	97.7¢	$397	+$9	Trade ↗
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	19.4¢	$323	-$179	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	58.1¢	$289	-$571	Trade ↗
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	92.6¢	$284	+$11	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?	No	89.0¢	$263	+$24	Trade ↗
Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by October 31?	No	93.9¢	$256	+$5	Trade ↗
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?	No	35.0¢	$212	+$117	Trade ↗
Will Waymo launch in Washington, DC by December 31 2026?	No	91.4¢	$192	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	45.0¢	$118	+$18	Trade ↗
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	91.0¢	$116	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Waymo launch in St. Louis, MO by December 31 2026?	No	89.5¢	$114	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026?	No	89.0¢	$110	+$9	Trade ↗
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?	Yes	17.2¢	$108	+$49	Trade ↗
Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by December 31?	No	49.7¢	$94	+$28	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	44.0¢	$94	-$656	Trade ↗
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?	No	75.0¢	$86	-$708	Trade ↗
Will Waymo launch in Philadelphia, PA by December 31 2026?	No	89.8¢	$54	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?	Yes	29.9¢	$8	-$45	Trade ↗
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	56.7¢	$6	-$64	Trade ↗
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	No	74.7¢	$5	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	90.9¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	Yes	6.6¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?	No	4.8¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	45.4¢	$0	-$454	Trade ↗
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?	Yes	67.8¢	$0	-$61	Trade ↗
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	56.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
5d ago	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	SELL	No	98.1¢	$13,287
44d ago	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	BUY	Yes	63.0¢	$11,113