0xffd3E7102CA12796beAD452B06117e2100D27C75-1761894446910

21Proven trader

0xffd3e7102ca12796bead452b06117e2100d27c75· stats updated 4d ago

Realized PnL

+$8,009

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

59%

43 of 73 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$24,633

Capital deployed

$99,364

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$22,146

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 6.7/25Consistency 5.6/25Sample size 13.3/20Concentration -4.8Total 20.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	69.0¢	$12,013	-$88	Trade ↗
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	70.9¢	$3,040	-$60	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	No	84.0¢	$1,763	+$213	Trade ↗
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	85.6¢	$1,485	+$49	Trade ↗
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?	No	82.2¢	$1,394	+$194	Trade ↗
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	54.5¢	$1,376	+$509	Trade ↗
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	No	65.0¢	$1,222	+$222	Trade ↗
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	No	64.3¢	$1,052	-$48	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	81.4¢	$994	+$153	Trade ↗
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?	No	82.1¢	$194	-$6	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	75.0¢	$99	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 12?	Yes	72.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	32.1¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	27.6¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	28.7¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	69.9¢	$0	-$650	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	45.4¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	20.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	60.5¢	$0	-$87	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	61.4¢	$0	-$88	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	32.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	79.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	11.6¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	59.2¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	36.9¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	58.8¢	$0	-$376	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	27.5¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	67.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 12?	Yes	66.2¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	42.7¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?	No	74.2¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 14?	No	27.2¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	No	12.4¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	41.1¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	41.5¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
4d ago	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	BUY	No	69.0¢	$12,101
14d ago	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	SELL	No	96.1¢	$10,045