0xffd3E7102CA12796beAD452B06117e2100D27C75-1761894446910

29Proven trader

0xffd3e7102ca12796bead452b06117e2100d27c75· stats updated 4d ago

Realized PnL

+$12,190

closed + open positions

Return on capital

10%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

69%

59 of 85 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$28,979

Capital deployed

$122,419

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$22,146

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 8.3/25Consistency 12.1/25Sample size 14.3/20Concentration -5.2Total 29.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	69.4¢	$14,822	+$1,196	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	72.4¢	$3,505	+$50	Trade ↗
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	76.8¢	$3,353	+$116	Trade ↗
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	70.5¢	$1,637	+$137	Trade ↗
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	77.8¢	$1,543	+$43	Trade ↗
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	54.5¢	$1,424	+$557	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	81.4¢	$1,389	+$89	Trade ↗
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	85.6¢	$1,306	+$71	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 12?	Yes	72.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	21.1¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	4.3¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	6.4¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	69.9¢	$0	-$650	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	35.7¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	20.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	69.6¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	71.2¢	$0	-$102	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	12.8¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	79.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	11.6¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	66.7¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	22.1¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	65.7¢	$0	-$421	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	3.3¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	67.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	8.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 12?	Yes	66.2¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	33.1¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?	No	74.2¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 14?	No	27.2¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	No	12.4¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	41.1¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	23.4¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
50d ago	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	BUY	No	69.0¢	$12,101
60d ago	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	SELL	No	96.1¢	$10,045