sbimbg

83Qualified whaleProven trader

0xf5198df69e13937a40d1c76d6f72d9aa067d906b· stats updated 10h ago

Realized PnL

+$2,999,167

closed + open positions

Return on capital

14%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$78,018

Capital deployed

$21,128,395

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$381,267

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

107

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 11.8/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -3.9Total 82.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	71.1¢	$34,666	+$4,416	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	72.2¢	$6,763	+$1,762	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	80.0¢	$3,454	+$105	Trade ↗
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	92.0¢	$2,789	+$59	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	28.0¢	$1,983	+$35	Trade ↗
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	97.1¢	$1,921	-$21	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	79.0¢	$1,906	-$37	Trade ↗
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?	No	87.0¢	$1,491	-$216	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	49.0¢	$1,176	-$340	Trade ↗
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	67.0¢	$1,036	-$40	Trade ↗
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	No	93.0¢	$966	+$36	Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	77.0¢	$945	-$183	Trade ↗
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	90.0¢	$909	+$9	Trade ↗
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	68.5¢	$850	+$165	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?	Yes	61.2¢	$773	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	75.5¢	$756	+$152	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	47.0¢	$728	+$206	Trade ↗
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	94.0¢	$726	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Mali win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group K?	Yes	61.0¢	$675	+$65	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?	No	70.0¢	$616	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?	No	71.0¢	$598	-$71	Trade ↗
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	14.0¢	$590	-$128	Trade ↗
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	26.0¢	$577	+$11	Trade ↗
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	No	83.0¢	$567	-$91	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?	Yes	79.0¢	$555	$0	Trade ↗
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	No	74.0¢	$551	-$86	Trade ↗
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	43.0¢	$500	-$360	Trade ↗
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?	No	97.3¢	$492	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?	Yes	58.0¢	$473	+$48	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	73.0¢	$460	+$95	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?	No	4.0¢	$457	-$338	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	69.0¢	$457	-$14	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	73.0¢	$357	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	75.0¢	$327	-$69	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	31.0¢	$318	+$40	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	52.0¢	$305	+$3	Trade ↗
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	5.0¢	$296	-$177	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	71.0¢	$278	-$33	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	23.0¢	$254	+$110	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	83.0¢	$232	$0	Trade ↗
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	30.0¢	$205	-$95	Trade ↗
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	No	46.0¢	$203	-$28	Trade ↗
Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	92.9¢	$184	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?	No	38.9¢	$177	-$56	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	33.0¢	$177	+$25	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?	No	33.0¢	$162	+$19	Trade ↗
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?	No	91.0¢	$157	-$13	Trade ↗
McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 1% to 2%?	No	38.3¢	$151	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	87.0¢	$148	+$6	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?	Yes	7.5¢	$139	+$61	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	87.0¢	$138	+$1	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	56.0¢	$129	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?	No	45.0¢	$123	$0	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	23.0¢	$118	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	85.0¢	$112	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?	Yes	20.0¢	$103	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	No	21.0¢	$93	-$13	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?	Yes	49.0¢	$89	-$29	Trade ↗
Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	57.0¢	$84	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?	Yes	34.0¢	$81	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Teladoc (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	66.0¢	$79	-$53	Trade ↗
Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	93.0¢	$70	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	37.0¢	$67	+$15	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	48.0¢	$63	-$16	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	18.0¢	$62	+$25	Trade ↗
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	76.0¢	$58	-$9	Trade ↗
Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 46% to 48%?	Yes	55.0¢	$57	-$59	Trade ↗
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	No	65.0¢	$55	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	16.5¢	$55	-$12	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	57.0¢	$55	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	34.0¢	$51	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	65.0¢	$49	-$81	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	No	23.0¢	$49	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	14.0¢	$44	+$27	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	40.0¢	$44	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	84.0¢	$39	-$4	Trade ↗
Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth -0.5% to 0.5%?	Yes	36.0¢	$38	+$8	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?	No	60.0¢	$38	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	No	56.0¢	$37	-$13	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	3.0¢	$33	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	28.0¢	$33	+$5	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	No	70.0¢	$33	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?	No	14.0¢	$32	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?	No	62.0¢	$30	+$2	Trade ↗
Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	44.0¢	$30	-$58	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?	Yes	37.0¢	$30	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?	No	87.0¢	$30	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?	Yes	8.0¢	$21	+$2	Trade ↗
Will RB Leipzig reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League final?	No	95.0¢	$20	+$0	Trade ↗
Will VfB Stuttgart reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League final?	No	95.0¢	$20	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?	No	35.0¢	$18	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $68B?	Yes	8.0¢	$17	-$23	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	No	74.0¢	$16	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	33.0¢	$14	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	46.5¢	$12	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	28.0¢	$12	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	No	22.0¢	$11	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	23.0¢	$11	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat?	Yes	12.0¢	$9	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	21.0¢	$8	-$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
1d ago	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23?	BUY	No	71.0¢	$10,650
3d ago	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	SELL	No	69.0¢	$10,350
5d ago	Commanders vs. 49ers	SELL	49ers	76.0¢	$38,000
6d ago	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	SELL	Steelers	85.0¢	$17,000
6d ago	Steelers vs. Buccaneers	BUY	Steelers	55.0¢	$11,000
6d ago	Saints vs. Giants	BUY	Giants	72.0¢	$35,991
7d ago	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$10,795
12d ago	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik	SELL	Alexander Zverev	62.0¢	$15,542
12d ago	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik	BUY	Alexander Zverev	84.0¢	$10,080
14d ago	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11?	BUY	No	68.0¢	$10,200
14d ago	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11?	BUY	No	77.0¢	$11,550
15d ago	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10?	BUY	No	89.0¢	$14,924
20d ago	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot	BUY	Jiri Lehecka	86.0¢	$15,308
34d ago	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	71.0¢	$15,919
36d ago	Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-19?	BUY	No	79.0¢	$10,279
38d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	87.0¢	$10,496
39d ago	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$13,198
49d ago	Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-06?	BUY	No	79.0¢	$12,116
59d ago	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	BUY	MOUZ	86.0¢	$10,320
64d ago	Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima	BUY	Taylor Fritz	69.0¢	$12,481
64d ago	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	BUY	No	91.5¢	$14,934
70d ago	Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Matteo Berrettini	BUY	Jiri Lehecka	85.0¢	$11,874
70d ago	Cincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensik	BUY	Jakub Mensik	60.0¢	$11,500
73d ago	Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Kimberly Birrell	BUY	Kamilla Rakhimova	75.0¢	$15,000
73d ago	Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draper	BUY	Jack Draper	70.0¢	$10,210