milkteaboba

3Specialist

0xf4c95b636c71243531dfc82a97565a94c106f88c· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

-$995,027

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-13%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

49%

27 of 55 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$531,218

Capital deployed

$7,855,528

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$2,657,609

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

128

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 0.0/25Sample size 11.4/20Concentration -8.0Total 3.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	65.2¢	$344,778	+$16,408	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	90.0¢	$99,642	+$2,693	Trade ↗
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)	Bears	72.0¢	$20,325	+$4,419	Trade ↗
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?	Yes	91.0¢	$7,928	+$171	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	51.6¢	$3,681	+$1,722	Trade ↗
Will Wayne Knight be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	No	75.0¢	$3,069	+$688	Trade ↗
Will Houston Texans advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	78.0¢	$2,742	+$193	Trade ↗
Will Denver Broncos advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	71.8¢	$2,375	+$460	Trade ↗
Will Pep Guardiola be the next head coach of the England national team?	No	93.4¢	$2,340	+$151	Trade ↗
Will Real Madrid finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	84.4¢	$2,322	+$285	Trade ↗
Will Sporting CP finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	63.8¢	$2,208	+$569	Trade ↗
Will New England Patriots advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	79.8¢	$2,004	+$111	Trade ↗
Will SC Freiburg win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	No	86.3¢	$1,835	+$75	Trade ↗
Will Mauricio Pochettino be the next head coach of the England national team?	No	97.4¢	$1,824	-$30	Trade ↗
Will the New York Giants make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	67.8¢	$1,796	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Ajax win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	No	91.9¢	$1,562	+$40	Trade ↗
Will Ohio State be the number 1 ranked defense in CFB	No	75.2¢	$1,558	+$380	Trade ↗
Will Hollywood Smothers be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	No	91.6¢	$1,490	+$122	Trade ↗
Will Trinidad Chambliss be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	No	76.7¢	$1,477	+$341	Trade ↗
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	4.6¢	$1,475	+$1,004	Trade ↗
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	2.2¢	$1,084	+$930	Trade ↗
Will Gareth Southgate be the next head coach of the England national team?	No	90.6¢	$1,008	+$77	Trade ↗
Will Frank Lampard be the next head coach of the England national team?	No	94.0¢	$904	+$46	Trade ↗
Will Seattle Seahawks finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most special teams and defensive touchdowns?	No	88.7¢	$901	+$54	Trade ↗
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award?	No	83.3¢	$805	+$92	Trade ↗
Will Real Madrid finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?	Yes	71.9¢	$729	+$53	Trade ↗
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	0.8¢	$710	+$671	Trade ↗
Will West Virginia win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?	No	89.0¢	$695	+$51	Trade ↗
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	0.8¢	$651	+$586	Trade ↗
Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	53.1¢	$620	+$136	Trade ↗
Will the Big Ten conference win the 2026-27 College Football Playoff National Championship?	No	66.0¢	$616	+$44	Trade ↗
Will Bayern Munich finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?	No	65.8¢	$608	+$117	Trade ↗
Will Mansoor Delane finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions?	No	90.2¢	$494	+$39	Trade ↗
Will Oregon make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	No	80.9¢	$465	+$62	Trade ↗
Will Marlon Humphrey finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions?	No	89.7¢	$452	+$42	Trade ↗
Will Ranger Suarez win the 2026 World Series MVP?	No	99.5¢	$445	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	0.8¢	$434	+$369	Trade ↗
Will Oregon be the number 1 ranked defense in CFB	No	88.4¢	$426	+$29	Trade ↗
Will New York Jets advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	94.7¢	$419	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Jeremy Peña win the 2026 World Series MVP?	No	99.7¢	$410	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Sam Antonacci win the 2026 World Series MVP?	No	99.2¢	$398	+$1	Trade ↗
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	0.8¢	$397	+$332	Trade ↗
Will Wayne Rooney be the next head coach of the England national team?	No	97.0¢	$389	-$6	Trade ↗
Spread: Patriots (-2.5)	Bears	64.0¢	$384	+$109	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	No	75.4¢	$382	+$62	Trade ↗
Will Lens finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	54.0¢	$354	-$137	Trade ↗
Will Raleek Brown be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	No	89.0¢	$287	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award?	No	53.8¢	$283	+$67	Trade ↗
Will Portsmouth be promoted to Premier League?	No	91.5¢	$282	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Real Madrid finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	No	81.0¢	$277	+$41	Trade ↗
Will Cody Bellinger win the 2026 World Series MVP?	No	99.7¢	$258	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Ben Johnson win the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	83.0¢	$253	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Feyenoord finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	42.9¢	$249	+$51	Trade ↗
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Eastern Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	29.1¢	$245	+$133	Trade ↗
Will Stoke City be promoted to Premier League?	No	90.8¢	$226	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Millwall be promoted to Premier League?	No	88.0¢	$223	+$11	Trade ↗
Will AEK Athens finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	97.4¢	$222	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Boston Celtics advance to the Eastern Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	26.1¢	$217	+$88	Trade ↗
Will Detroit Lions finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	No	72.5¢	$214	+$54	Trade ↗
Will Malachi Hosley be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	No	92.2¢	$206	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Green Bay Packers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions?	No	78.2¢	$205	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	0.8¢	$199	+$159	Trade ↗
Will Queens Park Rangers be promoted to Premier League?	No	90.2¢	$192	+$11	Trade ↗
Will a Junior win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	57.8¢	$189	+$58	Trade ↗
Will Washington Commanders advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	90.4¢	$188	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	59.6¢	$182	+$37	Trade ↗
Will Georgia Bulldogs Win the 2026 SEC Championship?	No	49.9¢	$178	+$27	Trade ↗
Will Arizona Cardinals advance to the NFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	96.5¢	$173	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Markus Ruck win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	No	78.1¢	$164	+$35	Trade ↗
Will Max Fried win the 2026 World Series MVP?	No	99.0¢	$160	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	0.8¢	$159	+$151	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	77.3¢	$157	+$24	Trade ↗
Will LSU make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	No	72.2¢	$156	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Texas Tech be the number 1 ranked defense in CFB	No	92.8¢	$156	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Sheffield United be promoted to Premier League?	No	92.3¢	$154	+$4	Trade ↗
Spread: Patriots (-1.5)	Bears	62.0¢	$153	+$45	Trade ↗
Will Florida St. make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals?	No	80.0¢	$138	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Maddox Dagenais win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	No	81.4¢	$134	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Washington Commanders finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?	No	89.0¢	$131	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Oregon make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals?	No	65.2¢	$125	+$38	Trade ↗
Will Lille finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	47.5¢	$118	-$170	Trade ↗
Will John Barnes be the next head coach of the England national team?	No	91.8¢	$112	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Napoli finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	93.2¢	$112	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Jaycee Horn finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions?	No	94.8¢	$111	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Broncos win the season series against the Chargers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	13.2¢	$103	+$71	Trade ↗
Will Slovan Bratislava finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	No	93.4¢	$102	+$3	Trade ↗
Will a Sophomore win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	No	85.0¢	$96	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Seattle Seahawks finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?	No	92.9¢	$96	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Atlético Madrid finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?	No	73.3¢	$94	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	0.8¢	$93	+$48	Trade ↗
Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	0.8¢	$90	+$33	Trade ↗
Will Inter Milan finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	81.2¢	$89	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Houston Texans advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	89.2¢	$88	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Jacksonville Jaguars finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most special teams and defensive touchdowns?	No	94.7¢	$87	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the season series between the Browns and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	62.0¢	$87	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Baltimore Ravens advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	69.4¢	$85	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Alabama be the number 1 ranked defense in CFB	No	89.7¢	$79	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Galatasaray finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	97.0¢	$79	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	0.8¢	$78	+$55	Trade ↗
Will Shakhtar Donetsk finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	94.2¢	$77	+$2	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Patriots vs. Bears	BUY	Bears	63.0¢	$68,416
2d ago	Patriots vs. Bears	BUY	Bears	63.0¢	$105,191
2d ago	Patriots vs. Bears	BUY	Bears	65.0¢	$10,124
2d ago	Patriots vs. Bears	BUY	Bears	65.0¢	$49,867
2d ago	Patriots vs. Bears	BUY	Bears	70.0¢	$35,279
2d ago	Patriots vs. Bears	BUY	Bears	70.0¢	$35,244
2d ago	Spread: Patriots (-3.5)	BUY	Bears	72.0¢	$15,462
4d ago	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5	BUY	Under	59.0¢	$29,404
5d ago	Commanders vs. 49ers	BUY	49ers	89.0¢	$209,150
5d ago	Commanders vs. 49ers	BUY	49ers	90.0¢	$153,700
5d ago	Commanders vs. 49ers	SELL	Commanders	23.0¢	$32,651
5d ago	Commanders vs. 49ers	BUY	Commanders	22.0¢	$34,061
6d ago	Cowboys vs. Packers	BUY	Packers	95.0¢	$63,534
6d ago	Cowboys vs. Packers	BUY	Packers	94.9¢	$51,524
6d ago	Cowboys vs. Packers	BUY	Packers	93.0¢	$67,400
6d ago	Cowboys vs. Packers	BUY	Packers	72.0¢	$54,201
6d ago	Cowboys vs. Packers	BUY	Packers	53.0¢	$29,615
6d ago	Cowboys vs. Packers	BUY	Packers	47.0¢	$22,618
6d ago	Cardinals vs. Rams	BUY	Rams	80.0¢	$50,907
6d ago	Cardinals vs. Rams	BUY	Rams	80.0¢	$28,582
6d ago	Cardinals vs. Rams	BUY	Rams	80.0¢	$25,560
6d ago	Cardinals vs. Rams	BUY	Rams	80.0¢	$154,797
6d ago	Cardinals vs. Rams	BUY	Rams	84.0¢	$29,620
6d ago	Cardinals vs. Rams	BUY	Rams	84.0¢	$106,721
6d ago	Cardinals vs. Rams	BUY	Rams	84.0¢	$127,879