macrosteaks

89Qualified whaleProven trader

0xeface9902242b0399856f981600b907dcc9bc9a1· stats updated 5h ago

Realized PnL

+$723,284

closed + open positions

Return on capital

20%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$367,415

Capital deployed

$3,544,114

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,270

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

500

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 27.4/30Return 17.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 89.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	69.3¢	$7,371	+$607	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	88.0¢	$7,278	+$84	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	No	96.0¢	$6,354	+$114	Trade ↗
Will Army Black Knights Win the 2026 American Conference?	No	88.0¢	$5,748	+$117	Trade ↗
Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?	No	60.1¢	$5,482	+$1,258	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	29.6¢	$5,475	+$1,026	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	30.7¢	$5,343	+$721	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	47.3¢	$5,180	-$2,593	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	48.4¢	$5,104	-$2,748	Trade ↗
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	92.9¢	$5,059	+$189	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	42.0¢	$5,019	-$1,272	Trade ↗
Will Texas Tech Red Raiders Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?	No	59.5¢	$4,608	+$1,266	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	37.9¢	$4,607	-$183	Trade ↗
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	72.5¢	$4,575	+$1,206	Trade ↗
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	33.2¢	$4,536	+$415	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat?	No	95.0¢	$4,337	+$154	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	84.7¢	$4,159	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Keelon Russell win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	No	94.2¢	$4,132	+$153	Trade ↗
Will Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Win the 2026 Sun Belt Championship?	No	89.0¢	$3,384	-$632	Trade ↗
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	No	65.5¢	$3,374	+$732	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	61.7¢	$3,182	-$388	Trade ↗
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?	No	53.1¢	$3,000	+$740	Trade ↗
Will Baker Mayfield finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?	No	96.2¢	$2,886	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?	No	97.0¢	$2,699	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	81.8¢	$2,614	+$199	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	12.0¢	$2,550	-$1,050	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	12.4¢	$2,544	-$1,184	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?	Yes	79.2¢	$2,539	+$160	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	88.0¢	$2,379	-$414	Trade ↗
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	65.8¢	$2,350	+$463	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?	No	94.8¢	$2,305	+$38	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?	No	78.0¢	$2,157	+$206	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	30.8¢	$2,088	-$211	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?	Yes	88.0¢	$2,014	+$166	Trade ↗
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	65.2¢	$1,993	+$500	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	30.2¢	$1,907	+$369	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-04 House seat?	No	93.6¢	$1,899	+$50	Trade ↗
Will Oklahoma Sooners Win the 2026 SEC Championship?	No	94.9¢	$1,862	+$40	Trade ↗
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	Yes	93.3¢	$1,816	+$88	Trade ↗
Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?	No	67.4¢	$1,813	+$126	Trade ↗
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 World Series MVP?	No	88.1¢	$1,802	+$146	Trade ↗
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	68.1¢	$1,786	+$426	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	94.4¢	$1,781	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	87.9¢	$1,753	+$78	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	44.5¢	$1,636	-$537	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?	Yes	89.5¢	$1,613	+$95	Trade ↗
Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	56.3¢	$1,565	+$442	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?	No	27.2¢	$1,554	+$1,116	Trade ↗
Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	49.0¢	$1,514	-$174	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the PA-06 House seat?	No	95.7¢	$1,509	+$27	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?	Yes	39.3¢	$1,506	+$890	Trade ↗
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?	Yes	84.0¢	$1,503	+$52	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?	Yes	90.8¢	$1,472	+$78	Trade ↗
Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?	Yes	96.0¢	$1,457	+$13	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-06 House seat?	Yes	95.6¢	$1,440	+$15	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	28.3¢	$1,425	-$332	Trade ↗
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	No	43.5¢	$1,360	+$264	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	39.4¢	$1,334	-$13	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	37.7¢	$1,322	-$168	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	91.3¢	$1,298	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	93.9¢	$1,285	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	32.9¢	$1,281	+$21	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?	Yes	93.6¢	$1,245	+$28	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$1,239	+$52	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?	No	75.6¢	$1,223	+$89	Trade ↗
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	88.9¢	$1,209	-$19	Trade ↗
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	84.8¢	$1,187	-$48	Trade ↗
Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?	No	94.6¢	$1,165	+$14	Trade ↗
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	78.7¢	$1,141	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?	No	58.8¢	$1,134	-$136	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?	Yes	94.3¢	$1,133	+$47	Trade ↗
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	95.0¢	$1,114	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	93.7¢	$1,108	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	34.5¢	$1,074	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?	Yes	77.6¢	$1,056	+$114	Trade ↗
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	30.3¢	$1,050	+$141	Trade ↗
Will Marshall Thundering Herd Win the 2026 Sun Belt Championship?	No	90.2¢	$1,046	+$72	Trade ↗
Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	78.5¢	$1,041	+$101	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Yes	94.0¢	$1,031	+$34	Trade ↗
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	No	13.5¢	$1,027	+$247	Trade ↗
Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	89.8¢	$1,007	-$15	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	71.3¢	$987	-$96	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the ID-02 House seat?	No	95.2¢	$984	+$32	Trade ↗
Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?	Yes	75.6¢	$930	+$88	Trade ↗
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	97.1¢	$926	+$26	Trade ↗
Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	67.9¢	$925	+$190	Trade ↗
Will Gumayusi win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	No	92.9¢	$907	+$25	Trade ↗
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	17.6¢	$885	+$341	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?	No	88.0¢	$872	-$93	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat?	Yes	90.5¢	$866	+$49	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?	No	87.0¢	$853	+$68	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?	Yes	88.0¢	$843	-$45	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?	No	93.8¢	$840	+$16	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	44.3¢	$824	-$266	Trade ↗
Will Clemson Tigers Win the 2026 ACC Championship?	No	96.0¢	$816	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Republicans win 1 Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala?	No	88.4¢	$810	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Greens win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?	No	82.3¢	$797	-$24	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-07 House seat?	No	93.0¢	$793	-$22	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?	No	94.0¢	$782	+$30	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-01 House seat?	No	96.0¢	$773	+$5	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
77d ago	Will Beau Hossler win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?	BUY	No	79.0¢	$10,270