BigRabbit

86Qualified whaleProven trader

0xeb22f4735df6bd5d14e1b5fd10faefa7757d808a· stats updated 22h ago

Realized PnL

+$926,248

closed + open positions

Return on capital

14%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$158,135

Capital deployed

$6,844,117

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$38,647

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

110

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 29.4/30Return 11.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 85.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	23.0¢	$15,350	-$7,611	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	17.6¢	$11,841	-$93	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	14.1¢	$10,000	+$2,942	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	27.2¢	$8,500	-$18,683	Trade ↗
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	13.2¢	$8,169	-$1,883	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	29.8¢	$7,500	+$1,531	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2.3¢	$6,630	+$2,108	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	47.0¢	$6,350	+$1,650	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	30.9¢	$4,669	+$1,537	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	40.3¢	$4,250	+$218	Trade ↗
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	32.1¢	$3,975	-$842	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	10.1¢	$3,838	+$727	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	25.9¢	$3,750	+$1,159	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?	Yes	26.8¢	$3,700	+$1,017	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	20.8¢	$3,641	+$1,273	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	54.0¢	$3,425	+$725	Trade ↗
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	1.7¢	$3,250	+$1,584	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	22.8¢	$2,950	+$667	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	22.7¢	$2,707	-$707	Trade ↗
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	0.9¢	$2,302	+$410	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	14.8¢	$2,175	-$45	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	18.0¢	$2,000	+$200	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?	Yes	15.8¢	$1,950	+$374	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?	Yes	19.1¢	$1,850	-$58	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	15.3¢	$1,700	+$168	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	31.0¢	$1,650	+$102	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	11.6¢	$1,630	+$119	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?	Yes	27.8¢	$1,600	+$209	Trade ↗
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	3.3¢	$1,384	+$530	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	59.0¢	$1,246	+$272	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes	30.7¢	$1,240	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?	Yes	26.0¢	$1,175	+$525	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	26.3¢	$1,038	+$247	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?	Yes	18.1¢	$1,025	+$117	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	30.6¢	$962	+$197	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	23.5¢	$925	-$250	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Yes	39.0¢	$910	+$130	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat?	Yes	23.4¢	$900	+$315	Trade ↗
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	Yes	9.0¢	$835	-$778	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?	Yes	18.2¢	$801	+$331	Trade ↗
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	7.1¢	$754	+$40	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?	Yes	53.0¢	$730	+$200	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	25.0¢	$650	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.2¢	$603	-$44	Trade ↗
Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	57.0¢	$585	+$15	Trade ↗
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	27.0¢	$575	-$100	Trade ↗
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	25.0¢	$563	-$63	Trade ↗
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.1¢	$500	-$1,668	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	6.0¢	$493	$0	Trade ↗
Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	48.0¢	$475	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?	Yes	54.3¢	$473	+$75	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?	Yes	35.9¢	$450	+$90	Trade ↗
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Mavericks	48.0¢	$425	-$55	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	4.3¢	$410	+$74	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?	Yes	68.0¢	$405	+$65	Trade ↗
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.2¢	$375	-$125	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?	Yes	28.3¢	$337	+$89	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	20.0¢	$330	-$2,670	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?	Yes	13.3¢	$320	+$54	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?	Yes	27.0¢	$300	+$30	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?	Yes	26.8¢	$295	+$27	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	12.0¢	$220	+$100	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?	Yes	32.9¢	$199	+$31	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$195	-$75	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	23.7¢	$175	+$57	Trade ↗
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$175	-$25	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?	No	16.0¢	$175	+$15	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	34.0¢	$170	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?	Yes	14.0¢	$161	+$20	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	15.0¢	$161	-$175	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	4.6¢	$154	-$1	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	17.3¢	$153	-$5,746	Trade ↗
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.3¢	$139	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	7.2¢	$138	-$223	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-01 House seat?	Yes	12.9¢	$135	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat?	No	14.0¢	$135	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	Yes	47.0¢	$131	+$33	Trade ↗
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.3¢	$128	+$21	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	18.0¢	$118	+$49	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	2.5¢	$107	-$120	Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	2.7¢	$96	+$56	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	17.0¢	$95	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?	Yes	16.0¢	$87	+$10	Trade ↗
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	25.0¢	$84	-$893	Trade ↗
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?	Yes	30.0¢	$73	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	22.0¢	$68	+$25	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?	No	29.0¢	$60	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	14.1¢	$46	+$25	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	27.0¢	$46	+$11	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	Yes	47.0¢	$43	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	24.0¢	$37	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	8.0¢	$20	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	49.0¢	$15	-$19	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat?	Yes	9.0¢	$13	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$7	-$1	Trade ↗
Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31?	Yes	11.0¢	$6	-$16	Trade ↗
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	42.0¢	$6	-$15	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?	Yes	6.0¢	$5	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	5.3¢	$5	+$3	Trade ↗
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	No	67.0¢	$5	+$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
29d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	SELL	Yes	61.0¢	$10,555
44d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SELL	No	84.0¢	$16,800
73d ago	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	No	56.5¢	$11,292