supersmard

44Qualified whaleProven trader

0xe3f2ecfd3e648bdabcd3fb701ccf294f13afe1c1· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$121,487

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

62%

68 of 109 resolved

Resolved markets

109

Portfolio value

$72,574

Capital deployed

$1,369,156

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$33,957

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 12.9/30Return 7.4/25Consistency 7.7/25Sample size 15.9/20Concentration 0.0Total 43.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	62.4¢	$13,499	+$1,385	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	34.8¢	$11,846	+$1,124	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	29.1¢	$7,906	+$1,925	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	28.3¢	$7,455	-$522	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	11.5¢	$5,975	-$20	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	13.5¢	$5,909	+$1,814	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	58.1¢	$5,058	+$829	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	65.0¢	$3,365	+$76	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	13.0¢	$2,925	+$975	Trade ↗
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	28.0¢	$2,083	-$118	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	11.5¢	$1,845	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	28.2¢	$1,613	+$401	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	40.0¢	$961	-$959	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	1.5¢	$689	-$671	Trade ↗
Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?	Yes	8.6¢	$392	-$334	Trade ↗
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	30.0¢	$292	-$313	Trade ↗
Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?	Yes	16.8¢	$205	+$67	Trade ↗
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?	Yes	21.0¢	$170	-$40	Trade ↗
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?	No	4.0¢	$64	+$62	Trade ↗
Will Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez be arrested in 2026?	No	4.0¢	$57	+$54	Trade ↗
Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	65.0¢	$53	+$14	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	14.0¢	$45	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	5.0¢	$43	-$60	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	14.1¢	$36	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	Yes	26.8¢	$28	-$44	Trade ↗
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?	No	77.0¢	$25	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Grüne be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	Yes	33.0¢	$20	+$13	Trade ↗
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	28.0¢	$11	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	52.0¢	$4	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	59.2¢	$0	-$5,027	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	29.1¢	$0	-$309	Trade ↗
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$63	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	12.4¢	$0	-$610	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	28.0¢	$0	-$2,800	Trade ↗
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will The Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?	Yes	35.3¢	$0	-$216	Trade ↗
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?	BSW	15.0¢	$0	-$44	Trade ↗
Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?	Yes	54.2¢	$0	-$425	Trade ↗
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$400	Trade ↗
Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?	Yes	39.1¢	$0	-$951	Trade ↗
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	37.3¢	$0	-$1,863	Trade ↗
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	4.6¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	Yes	20.3¢	$0	-$182	Trade ↗
Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?	Yes	33.5¢	$0	-$1,133	Trade ↗
Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	30.8¢	$0	-$1,888	Trade ↗
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	21.1¢	$0	-$1,831	Trade ↗
Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%?	Over	32.3¢	$0	-$1,311	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	57.0¢	$0	-$2,844	Trade ↗
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?	Yes	40.1¢	$0	-$2,492	Trade ↗
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	22.0¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)	Côte d'Ivoire	1.1¢	$0	-$84	Trade ↗
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	31.0¢	$0	-$34	Trade ↗
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$960	Trade ↗
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?	Grüne	15.8¢	$0	-$1,549	Trade ↗
Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?	Yes	38.8¢	$0	-$244	Trade ↗
Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?	Over	67.5¢	$0	-$2,398	Trade ↗
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$70	Trade ↗
Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?	Yes	45.3¢	$0	-$1,865	Trade ↗
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?	AfD	28.8¢	$0	-$976	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	82.1¢	$0	-$1,642	Trade ↗
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	8.6¢	$0	-$19	Trade ↗
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	5.7¢	$0	-$546	Trade ↗
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?	Under	88.0¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$437	Trade ↗
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$303	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	42.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?	Yes	27.8¢	$0	-$493	Trade ↗
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$800	Trade ↗
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?	CDU	21.1¢	$0	-$635	Trade ↗
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	13.5¢	$0	-$2,638	Trade ↗
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?	Yes	29.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?	Yes	48.7¢	$0	-$96	Trade ↗
Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	14.7¢	$0	-$86	Trade ↗
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)	Côte d'Ivoire	4.4¢	$0	-$376	Trade ↗
Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?	Yes	53.0¢	$0	-$285	Trade ↗
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	8.0¢	$0	-$640	Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	12.7¢	$0	-$314	Trade ↗
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?	No	0.8¢	$0	-$320	Trade ↗
Will SPD win between 13% and 16% of all valid second votes?	Yes	24.5¢	$0	-$102	Trade ↗
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	27.0¢	$0	-$1,175	Trade ↗
Will Linke win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 2-5%?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	23.5¢	$0	-$920	Trade ↗
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$486	Trade ↗
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	11.1¢	$0	-$184	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
11d ago	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	SELL	No	62.0¢	$10,849
17d ago	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	SELL	Yes	45.0¢	$10,458
33d ago	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	BUY	Yes	47.0¢	$12,650