Tobias1909

78Qualified whaleProven trader

0xe394fd07cfceaceffcfab62afa3969afe8ec289c· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$372,540

closed + open positions

Return on capital

16%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$31,896

Capital deployed

$2,299,033

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$41,448

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 22.0/30Return 13.5/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -2.4Total 78.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	22.4¢	$11,815	+$7,135	Trade ↗
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	73.9¢	$4,162	+$569	Trade ↗
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	22.0¢	$2,980	+$718	Trade ↗
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	13.0¢	$2,721	+$101	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	46.1¢	$2,532	-$5,555	Trade ↗
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	17.4¢	$2,513	+$550	Trade ↗
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	95.5¢	$2,069	-$170	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	9.7¢	$1,274	+$32	Trade ↗
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	22.5¢	$653	+$123	Trade ↗
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	6.1¢	$407	+$88	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	81.8¢	$210	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Arthur Fils Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	69.8¢	$165	+$9	Trade ↗
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	56.8¢	$143	-$1,373	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	52.0¢	$57	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	74.0¢	$55	+$10	Trade ↗
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	9.6¢	$46	-$751	Trade ↗
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	16.0¢	$42	-$149	Trade ↗
Will Taylor Fritz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	50.0¢	$20	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?	Sinner	65.8¢	$17	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	11.7¢	$15	-$270	Trade ↗
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	36.0¢	$0	-$31	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	68.7¢	$0	-$137	Trade ↗
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	20.6¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	4.8¢	$0	-$580	Trade ↗
Miami Open: Elina Svitolina vs Hailey Baptiste	Elina Svitolina	48.5¢	$0	-$970	Trade ↗
Will Mads Pedersen win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$57	Trade ↗
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	42.4¢	$0	-$2,333	Trade ↗
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	37.0¢	$0	-$119	Trade ↗
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet	Luca Van Assche	29.0¢	$0	-$1,740	Trade ↗
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	5.1¢	$0	-$379	Trade ↗
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	6.6¢	$0	-$190	Trade ↗
Will Philadelphia Flyers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	55.6¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
The Memphis Classic: Zeynep Sonmez vs Cadence Brace	Cadence Brace	62.5¢	$0	-$2,500	Trade ↗
Barcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev	Mariano Navone	53.5¢	$0	-$211	Trade ↗
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinka	Stan Wawrinka	46.0¢	$0	-$138	Trade ↗
Devils vs. Maple Leafs	Devils	29.0¢	$0	-$46	Trade ↗
Will Mathieu van der Poel finish in the top 3 at the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?	Yes	42.9¢	$0	-$93	Trade ↗
National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzic	Lois Boisson	42.0¢	$0	-$1,680	Trade ↗
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Thiago Agustin Tirante	33.0¢	$0	-$2,666	Trade ↗
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	28.5¢	$0	-$1,346	Trade ↗
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremska	Dayana Yastremska	57.0¢	$0	-$2,850	Trade ↗
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?	Yes	67.4¢	$0	-$149	Trade ↗
Avalanche vs. Panthers	Avalanche	58.0¢	$0	-$70	Trade ↗
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	43.2¢	$0	-$2,795	Trade ↗
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	41.0¢	$0	-$40	Trade ↗
Will Spain win the 2025 Davis Cup Finals	Yes	13.3¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?	No	49.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Wout Van Aert win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?	No	70.9¢	$0	-$1,767	Trade ↗
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaider	Jessica Pegula	35.1¢	$0	-$2,267	Trade ↗
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockx	Roman Andres Burruchaga	53.0¢	$0	-$2,120	Trade ↗
Sabres vs. Rangers	Rangers	47.0¢	$0	-$494	Trade ↗
Will the Dallas Stars win the Central Division?	Yes	17.0¢	$0	-$24	Trade ↗
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	21.5¢	$0	-$1,322	Trade ↗
Will Como finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	No	74.5¢	$0	-$397	Trade ↗
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo	Alejandro Tabilo	19.0¢	$0	-$950	Trade ↗
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?	Yes	31.4¢	$0	-$1,113	Trade ↗
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery	Flavio Cobolli	11.0¢	$0	-$1,100	Trade ↗
Credit One Charleston Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaider	Leylah Fernandez	44.7¢	$0	-$876	Trade ↗
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?	Yes	46.9¢	$0	-$431	Trade ↗
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Berrettini	70.0¢	$0	-$8,400	Trade ↗
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?	Yes	43.9¢	$0	-$2,125	Trade ↗
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?	Yes	55.1¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Ottawa Senators advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	40.1¢	$0	-$1,784	Trade ↗
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	No	19.9¢	$0	-$58	Trade ↗
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda	Carlos Alcaraz	61.3¢	$0	-$3,738	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Dino Prizmic vs Alexander Shevchenko	Alexander Shevchenko	55.4¢	$0	-$14,444	Trade ↗
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys	Victoria Mboko	19.8¢	$0	-$1,586	Trade ↗
Will Francisco Cerundolo advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?	Yes	7.7¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Roland Garros WTA: Clara Tauson vs Daria Snigur	Clara Tauson	53.0¢	$0	-$2,650	Trade ↗
US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	51.3¢	$0	-$5,157	Trade ↗
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmez	Zeynep Sonmez	45.2¢	$0	-$1,330	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea	Michael Zheng	42.2¢	$0	-$4,043	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	21.0¢	$0	-$951	Trade ↗
Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	Yes	3.9¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mboko	Mirra Andreeva	28.0¢	$0	-$420	Trade ↗
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev	Zverev	14.5¢	$0	-$237	Trade ↗
Will Vladimir Semirunniy (POL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$102	Trade ↗
Merida Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	43.0¢	$0	-$430	Trade ↗
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	73.2¢	$0	-$2,965	Trade ↗
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the Arizona Coyotes make the NHL Playoffs?	Yes	78.2¢	$0	-$43	Trade ↗
Will Ebba Andersson (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Women's Skiathlon at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	49.8¢	$0	-$30	Trade ↗
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	15.1¢	$0	-$83	Trade ↗
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?	No	95.7¢	$0	-$1,014	Trade ↗
US Open WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic	Belinda Bencic	60.8¢	$0	-$2,911	Trade ↗
Will Loic Meillard (SUI) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	92.0¢	$0	-$107	Trade ↗
The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova	Ekaterina Alexandrova	53.0¢	$0	-$3,180	Trade ↗
Cincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensik	Mattia Bellucci	40.0¢	$0	-$2,478	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli	Francisco Comesana	57.0¢	$0	-$4,997	Trade ↗
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	26.3¢	$0	-$95	Trade ↗
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	20.1¢	$0	-$425	Trade ↗
Will Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?	Yes	35.6¢	$0	-$305	Trade ↗
National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Aryna Sabalenka	43.9¢	$0	-$2,635	Trade ↗
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Hailey Baptiste	Hailey Baptiste	32.0¢	$0	-$1,600	Trade ↗
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	55.0¢	$0	-$5,500	Trade ↗
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?	No	55.0¢	$0	-$181	Trade ↗
Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Arthur Fery	James Duckworth	41.6¢	$0	-$2,546	Trade ↗
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navone	Alex Molcan	53.1¢	$0	-$752	Trade ↗
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	86.4¢	$0	-$173	Trade ↗
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro	Sho Shimabukuro	26.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
3d ago	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	SELL	Yes	99.9¢	$15,612
10d ago	US Open ATP: Dino Prizmic vs Alexander Shevchenko	BUY	Alexander Shevchenko	55.4¢	$14,444
25d ago	Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	SELL	Thiago Agustin Tirante	37.7¢	$11,392