cry.eth2

90Qualified whaleProven trader

0xe3726a1b9c6ba2f06585d1c9e01d00afaedaeb38· stats updated 16h ago

Realized PnL

+$5,157,322

closed + open positions

Return on capital

35%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$85

Capital deployed

$14,644,612

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$68,436

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 25.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -9.7Total 90.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	1.7¢	$62	+$60	Trade ↗
Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	0.0¢	$6	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Sylvain Durif win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	0.0¢	$2	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Anasse Kazib win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	0.0¢	$2	+$2	Trade ↗
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Marquinhos win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Willian Pacho win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Dayot Upamecano win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Gabriel Magalhães win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
Will William Saliba win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Sadio Mané win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Marc Cucurella win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Julián Quiñones win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	1.6¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Alberto Fernández win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	1.6¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 18?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-18?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$71	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on April 21?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$69	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 3?	Yes	6.1¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will The White House be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?	Yes	2.5¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Player 194 win Beast Games: Season 2?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$232	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 7?	Yes	9.1¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	Yes	4.5¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Desmond Bane win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	9.1¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will the State of the Union begin between 9:15PM and 9:30PM ET?	Yes	8.3¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on April 8?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Daniel Jones play for Arizona Cardinals in 2026-27?	Yes	1.6¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on March 28?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 9?	Yes	9.1¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Malta vs. Turkiye end in a draw?	Yes	33.3¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?	Yes	6.3¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 30?	Yes	9.1¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 58-59°F on April 24?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on April 4?	Yes	19.1¢	$0	-$24	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June 7?	Yes	9.1¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Hikari win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will "Ms. Rachel: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$64	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 4?	Yes	9.1¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C or higher on April 24?	Yes	5.3¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on April 9?	Yes	25.8¢	$0	-$28	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Guilherme Schettine score the most goals in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?	Yes	3.2¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$0	-$15	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on April 20?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 22?	Yes	8.3¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on April 17?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Malena Adrada be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$36	Trade ↗
Will Morocco vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$38	Trade ↗
Will Beth Van Duyne come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$99	Trade ↗
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	4.0¢	$0	-$75	Trade ↗
Will the median home value in Chicago be between $305,000 and $310,000 by March 1?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 60-61°F on April 12?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Kevin Lee McCants be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 38-39°F on April 20?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Olympique de Marseille 3 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?	Yes	3.1¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the median home value in Miami be greater than $1,237,000 on June 30?	Yes	14.3¢	$0	-$21	Trade ↗
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 16?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will David Schweikert win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 24?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 14?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Chicago Bears draft Arvell Reese in the 2026 pro football draft?	Yes	1.4¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 16?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?	Yes	14.3¢	$0	-$70	Trade ↗
Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	6.7¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 46-47°F on April 10?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C or higher on April 12?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	5.2¢	$0	-$89	Trade ↗
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading?	Yes	1.3¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will "Bugonia" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will The Secret Agent win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	3.1¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on March 24?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $156-$158 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 4?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on March 22?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Donna Vekic win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	4.8¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 25?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 8?	Yes	9.1¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Afghanistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on March 28?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 60-61°F on April 9?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	2.2¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 17?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C or below on April 29?	Yes	9.1¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on April 6?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 3?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Venstre win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	Yes	1.2¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Canada win on 2026-03-28?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$38	Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 14?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
20d ago	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	Yes	19.8¢	$13,774
20d ago	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	No	76.9¢	$12,266
20d ago	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	No	78.9¢	$42,397