madmartigan5

39Qualified whaleProven trader

0xdd153625e111a496d372dfb7d7a69d4330324a07· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$68,659

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

78%

47 of 60 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$32,246

Capital deployed

$1,351,830

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$21,347

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 8.2/30Return 4.2/25Consistency 17.7/25Sample size 12.0/20Concentration -3.2Total 39.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	19.8¢	$13,166	+$2,063	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	37.1¢	$2,885	+$561	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	54.0¢	$2,086	+$477	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5.5¢	$1,829	-$239	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	52.3¢	$1,494	+$335	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	62.0¢	$1,410	+$170	Trade ↗
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.9¢	$1,383	-$785	Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5.7¢	$1,324	-$145	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	43.9¢	$1,204	-$24	Trade ↗
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	34.8¢	$733	-$267	Trade ↗
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	0.5¢	$706	+$599	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2.6¢	$665	+$133	Trade ↗
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.2¢	$637	+$49	Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	16.9¢	$636	+$40	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$608	+$132	Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	35.0¢	$465	-$173	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	86.0¢	$428	-$53	Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3.3¢	$317	-$187	Trade ↗
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	1.0¢	$95	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	8.0¢	$75	-$39	Trade ↗
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	29.3¢	$65	-$58	Trade ↗
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	22.3¢	$17	-$49	Trade ↗
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	23.1¢	$8	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	No	18.0¢	$7	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	1.0¢	$4	-$21	Trade ↗
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?	No	22.0¢	$0	-$330	Trade ↗
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	11.4¢	$0	-$171	Trade ↗
World Championships: Austria vs. Germany	Austria	22.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	Yes	10.9¢	$0	-$333	Trade ↗
Will Sweden win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	1.3¢	$0	-$37	Trade ↗
Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	29.9¢	$0	-$395	Trade ↗
Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
World Championships: Hungary vs. Latvia	Hungary	15.2¢	$0	-$916	Trade ↗
World Championships: Denmark vs. Slovenia	Slovenia	29.0¢	$0	-$32	Trade ↗
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Canada	Slovakia	12.6¢	$0	-$266	Trade ↗
World Championships: Canada vs. Norway	Norway	20.4¢	$0	-$215	Trade ↗
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	20.4¢	$0	-$462	Trade ↗
World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada	Czechia	21.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)	Colombia	20.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Will Croatia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	No	30.0¢	$0	-$59	Trade ↗
Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	19.8¢	$0	-$62	Trade ↗
Will Canada win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	3.1¢	$0	-$111	Trade ↗
Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	26.8¢	$0	-$1,002	Trade ↗
Will Ecuador finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	4.4¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Will the Liberals (L) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	11.9¢	$0	-$455	Trade ↗
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	35.0¢	$0	-$280	Trade ↗
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	29.8¢	$0	-$261	Trade ↗
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	28.0¢	$0	-$280	Trade ↗
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	35.6¢	$0	-$174	Trade ↗
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	No	28.0¢	$0	-$56	Trade ↗
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	32.8¢	$0	-$3,457	Trade ↗
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance	Algeria	33.7¢	$0	-$405	Trade ↗
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$3,669	Trade ↗
Will Algeria be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	No	33.7¢	$0	-$543	Trade ↗
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	8.3¢	$0	-$498	Trade ↗
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$315	Trade ↗
World Championships: Sweden vs. Slovenia	Slovenia	3.8¢	$0	-$185	Trade ↗
World Championships: Denmark vs. Slovakia	Denmark	36.1¢	$0	-$2,011	Trade ↗
Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
World Championships: Austria vs. Hungary	Hungary	28.2¢	$0	-$163	Trade ↗
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	No	36.0¢	$0	-$393	Trade ↗
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	42.5¢	$0	-$85	Trade ↗
World Championships: Hungary vs. Great Britain	Great Britain	24.5¢	$0	-$202	Trade ↗
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	11.4¢	$0	-$97	Trade ↗
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance	Croatia	29.4¢	$0	-$441	Trade ↗
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	25.8¢	$0	-$598	Trade ↗
Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	34.0¢	$0	-$680	Trade ↗
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.4¢	$0	-$84	Trade ↗
World Championships: Sweden vs. Slovakia	Slovakia	21.8¢	$0	-$221	Trade ↗
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	3.6¢	$0	-$227	Trade ↗
World Championships: Finland vs. Great Britain	Great Britain	1.6¢	$0	-$97	Trade ↗
Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	8.4¢	$0	-$4,949	Trade ↗
Will the Liberals (L) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	3.3¢	$0	-$86	Trade ↗
Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?	Yes	23.0¢	$0	-$73	Trade ↗
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$900	Trade ↗
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	22.0¢	$0	-$194	Trade ↗
Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?	Under	34.0¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
World Championships: Latvia vs. Finland	Latvia	10.7¢	$0	-$595	Trade ↗
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	United States	50.5¢	$0	-$505	Trade ↗
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	20.0¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
World Championships: Finland vs. Austria	Austria	3.0¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	34.6¢	$0	-$605	Trade ↗
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway	Norway	11.0¢	$0	-$99	Trade ↗
Will Pierceson Coody win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$75	Trade ↗
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	6.5¢	$0	-$48	Trade ↗
Will Canada win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	10.3¢	$0	-$62	Trade ↗
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score	Yes	40.0¢	$0	-$280	Trade ↗
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	21.8¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
Will Japan finish last in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	6.8¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Sweden be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	No	10.8¢	$0	-$388	Trade ↗
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	No	39.0¢	$0	-$312	Trade ↗
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	No	18.6¢	$0	-$316	Trade ↗
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	22.9¢	$0	-$2,140	Trade ↗
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Slovakia	Slovenia	17.2¢	$0	-$539	Trade ↗
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$24	Trade ↗
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance	Norway	35.0¢	$0	-$210	Trade ↗
World Championships: Germany vs. Switzerland	Germany	16.0¢	$0	-$258	Trade ↗
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	4.1¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
40d ago	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	SELL	Yes	99.8¢	$21,347