ScaryDream
15Proven trader0xd8e5d96b54394c545d930fc31646e9eaf847b808· stats updated 6d ago
Realized PnL
+$8,616
closed + open positions
Return on capital
2%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
61%
36 of 59 resolved
Resolved markets
59
Portfolio value
$158
Capital deployed
$503,346
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$13,200
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
3
Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)
PnL 0.0/30Return 1.4/25Consistency 6.9/25Sample size 11.8/20Concentration -5.6Total 14.6 / 100
Current positions
| Market | Outcome | Avg price | Value | Unrealized PnL | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.7¢ | $83 | -$69 | Trade ↗ |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? | Yes | 17.4¢ | $50 | -$94 | Trade ↗ |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? | Yes | 15.3¢ | $24 | -$2 | Trade ↗ |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 7.4¢ | $0 | -$1,825 | Trade ↗ |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | Yes | 11.6¢ | $0 | -$239 | Trade ↗ |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Yes | 3.4¢ | $0 | -$6,106 | Trade ↗ |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country? | Yes | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$45 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13? | Yes | 88.7¢ | $0 | -$528 | Trade ↗ |
Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)
| Time | Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76d ago | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | No | 88.0¢ | $13,200 |
WhaleWatcher