Saltyballs

78Qualified whaleProven trader

0xd46be610a32e5c6ee094977e3caf9ab89c525dab· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$468,503

closed + open positions

Return on capital

12%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

89%

446 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$5,728

Capital deployed

$3,864,487

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$25,326

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 23.8/30Return 10.1/25Consistency 24.5/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 78.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	36.9¢	$1,076	-$184	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	38.8¢	$570	-$90	Trade ↗
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	9.2¢	$564	+$198	Trade ↗
Will the Indiana Pacers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	61.0¢	$496	-$4	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	8.9¢	$478	-$89	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	36.0¢	$457	-$58	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	27.5¢	$433	+$83	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	32.0¢	$345	-$17	Trade ↗
Will the Boston Celtics finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Eastern Conference?	No	50.0¢	$219	+$94	Trade ↗
Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	13.0¢	$143	$0	Trade ↗
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	14.0¢	$126	+$4	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	12.0¢	$104	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	13.0¢	$99	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Darian Mensah win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	12.3¢	$81	+$31	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	21.0¢	$80	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	71.0¢	$71	$0	Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	3.5¢	$55	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	28.0¢	$54	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Iowa have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	29.4¢	$54	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	11.1¢	$45	+$15	Trade ↗
Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	8.0¢	$42	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Iowa Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?	Yes	28.5¢	$33	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the Boston Celtics finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Eastern Conference?	Yes	50.0¢	$31	-$94	Trade ↗
Will Texas make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	No	78.0¢	$26	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	7.2¢	$23	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Texas Tech Red Raiders win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	1.8¢	$15	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	1.4¢	$3	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	0.3¢	$2	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	1.8¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	No	9.0¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	13.4¢	$0	-$92	Trade ↗
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	14.6¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	10.7¢	$0	-$340	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?	Yes	3.6¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$475	Trade ↗
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?	Yes	13.9¢	$0	-$56	Trade ↗
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	22.9¢	$0	-$80	Trade ↗
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	18.6¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	14.7¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	31.5¢	$0	-$75	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	Yes	53.9¢	$0	-$250	Trade ↗
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	Argentina	38.5¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Florida A&M vs. Miami (FL): O/U 58.5	Under	30.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	47.3¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	39.0¢	$0	-$250	Trade ↗
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	1.6¢	$0	-$40	Trade ↗
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	8.9¢	$0	-$18	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$75	Trade ↗
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	4.2¢	$0	-$40	Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	7.3¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
15d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	SELL	No	94.0¢	$14,901
17d ago	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	SELL	Yes	35.0¢	$10,425