sdiff123

61Qualified whaleProven trader

0xd352f30eed085d974d01430fc919b1702acd4ad6· stats updated 3h ago

Realized PnL

+$347,565

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

81%

403 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$32,733

Capital deployed

$7,046,957

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$29,632

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 21.4/30Return 4.1/25Consistency 19.1/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -3.2Total 61.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	42.2¢	$13,488	-$1,368	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	97.0¢	$13,396	-$224	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	74.9¢	$3,695	-$48	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	87.5¢	$1,344	+$33	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	64.7¢	$571	-$12	Trade ↗
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	44.0¢	$86	+$26	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	21.0¢	$69	-$35	Trade ↗
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	52.0¢	$35	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	35.0¢	$20	+$3	Trade ↗
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	38.0¢	$14	+$8	Trade ↗
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	6.6¢	$11	-$14	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	27.0¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	94.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
Will DeWayne Davis win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Jazz Hampton win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$210	Trade ↗
Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Chartfu win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	Yes	31.1¢	$0	-$2,496	Trade ↗
Will Jesse Pollak appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?	Yes	40.0¢	$0	-$400	Trade ↗
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	6.8¢	$0	-$1,358	Trade ↗
Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?	Yes	22.4¢	$0	-$352	Trade ↗
Will Farokh win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	10.5¢	$0	-$5,876	Trade ↗
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	5.2¢	$0	-$5,287	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2PM ET	Up	50.0¢	$0	-$246	Trade ↗
Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Z.ai have the best AI model on October 31?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Rent" during his victory/concession speech?	No	8.7¢	$0	-$174	Trade ↗
Will Vance Spencer win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.4% on September 26?	Yes	33.0¢	$0	-$330	Trade ↗
Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.5¢	$0	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	5.3¢	$0	-$265	Trade ↗
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	Yes	4.5¢	$0	-$82	Trade ↗
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?	Yes	33.4¢	$0	-$1,066	Trade ↗
Will Lito Coen win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	3.5¢	$0	-$184	Trade ↗
Will CoinMamba win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	6.5¢	$0	-$392	Trade ↗
Will Steady Lads Crew win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$67	Trade ↗
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?	Yes	2.4¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	No	35.0¢	$0	-$1,750	Trade ↗
Kash Patel out by September 30?	Yes	9.8¢	$0	-$294	Trade ↗
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Laura Shin win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	Up	50.0¢	$0	-$151	Trade ↗
Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$177	Trade ↗
Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$97	Trade ↗
Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥45.5% on September 26?	Yes	8.0¢	$0	-$80	Trade ↗
Will DeFi Dad win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$900	Trade ↗
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$2,085	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?	Yes	51.0¢	$0	-$2,550	Trade ↗
Will Sifu win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will 达人 Wenxue600 win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?	Yes	27.0¢	$0	-$1,080	Trade ↗
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	No	50.0¢	$0	-$250	Trade ↗
Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?	No	6.0¢	$0	-$240	Trade ↗
Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings?	No	18.0¢	$0	-$90	Trade ↗
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Meta dip to $530 in December?	Yes	31.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$372	Trade ↗
Will Larry Cermak win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.5¢	$0	-$32	Trade ↗
Will IcoBeast win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	30.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	28.0¢	$0	-$1,400	Trade ↗
Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$139	Trade ↗
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	No	15.0¢	$0	-$750	Trade ↗
Will Masil 매실남 win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	17.7¢	$0	-$268	Trade ↗
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?	Yes	50.9¢	$0	-$3,377	Trade ↗
Will Jorge 'Tuto' Quiroga qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?	No	4.2¢	$0	-$42	Trade ↗
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Lynk win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Horse win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?	No	33.0¢	$0	-$330	Trade ↗
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?	No	47.0¢	$0	-$2,350	Trade ↗
Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Daddy Fiskantes win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?	Yes	30.5¢	$0	-$2,287	Trade ↗
Will Andy win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 2?	Yes	4.0¢	$0	-$398	Trade ↗
U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?	Yes	69.8¢	$0	-$22,052	Trade ↗
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?	Yes	6.6¢	$0	-$1,590	Trade ↗
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	16.1¢	$0	-$1,588	Trade ↗
Odds of Maduro out in 2025 Under 15% by Friday?	No	44.9¢	$0	-$449	Trade ↗
Will Galaxy win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?	No	69.7¢	$0	-$137	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	70.0¢	$0	-$1,750	Trade ↗
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Jew" or "Jewish" during his victory/concession speech?	No	52.8¢	$0	-$223	Trade ↗
Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$135	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
12h ago	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	No	42.3¢	$10,233
34d ago	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	BUY	No	97.0¢	$19,399