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100Qualified whaleProven trader

0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$69,189,904

closed + open positions

Return on capital

44%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$314,313

Capital deployed

$155,901,299

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$19,845

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

499

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 25.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 100.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	35.5¢	$73,603	+$23,854	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	23.4¢	$26,051	+$16,422	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	98.6¢	$24,733	+$237	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	36.4¢	$17,125	+$6,091	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	39.3¢	$13,769	-$2,136	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	36.0¢	$12,208	-$545	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	34.1¢	$7,486	+$296	Trade ↗
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	79.1¢	$5,640	+$119	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$4,278	+$3,973	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	83.7¢	$3,413	+$111	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	6.3¢	$3,147	+$1,365	Trade ↗
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	90.2¢	$2,352	+$24	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	66.0¢	$1,548	-$601	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	23.3¢	$1,485	-$244	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	48.1¢	$1,294	-$45	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	13.8¢	$1,241	-$689	Trade ↗
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	6.3¢	$1,224	+$183	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	97.6¢	$920	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	5.5¢	$899	+$674	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$854	+$581	Trade ↗
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	94.7¢	$810	+$23	Trade ↗
Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-2.5)	FC Utrecht	72.5¢	$708	+$195	Trade ↗
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	76.1¢	$704	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	5.5¢	$682	+$357	Trade ↗
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$640	+$370	Trade ↗
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	98.9¢	$621	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	98.9¢	$587	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	95.6¢	$554	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	48.4¢	$552	+$44	Trade ↗
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$545	-$1,727	Trade ↗
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	75.5¢	$541	-$34	Trade ↗
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	99.9¢	$490	+$0	Trade ↗
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari	Thiago Seyboth Wild	88.2¢	$477	-$248	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	91.0¢	$459	-$53	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	98.7¢	$454	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	99.9¢	$439	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	99.9¢	$439	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	99.3¢	$435	-$2	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	20.4¢	$435	-$338	Trade ↗
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins	Hanwha Eagles	29.8¢	$432	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	97.3¢	$421	-$7	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	30.2¢	$417	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	2.4¢	$417	+$156	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	94.8¢	$401	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	91.4¢	$398	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	41.9¢	$398	+$23	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	88.1¢	$394	+$6	Trade ↗
Dana White's Contender Series: Christian Echols vs. Martin Kozák (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Echols	17.0¢	$385	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Emma Navarro win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	2.6¢	$370	-$94	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	98.5¢	$362	+$1	Trade ↗
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	99.1¢	$354	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	92.0¢	$345	+$5	Trade ↗
Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	99.9¢	$339	-$1	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B	FURIA	62.2¢	$325	+$54	Trade ↗
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	29.7¢	$317	-$27	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	7.2¢	$317	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	99.9¢	$300	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	48.9¢	$287	-$19	Trade ↗
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	99.5¢	$278	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	95.7¢	$276	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	95.7¢	$269	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.0¢	$262	-$11,383	Trade ↗
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons	Tokyo Yakult Swallows	46.7¢	$261	+$92	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	53.5¢	$260	+$14	Trade ↗
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	94.0¢	$250	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	92.0¢	$246	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	86.0¢	$237	+$17	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	56.0¢	$237	-$21	Trade ↗
Will Jozef Viskupič win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?	No	38.0¢	$228	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$223	+$208	Trade ↗
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	93.2¢	$222	+$0	Trade ↗
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	93.4¢	$214	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	90.3¢	$212	+$14	Trade ↗
Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	97.0¢	$205	-$1	Trade ↗
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	99.8¢	$204	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	99.4¢	$204	+$0	Trade ↗
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	99.4¢	$204	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	99.5¢	$204	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?	No	86.0¢	$204	+$27	Trade ↗
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	16.7¢	$203	+$159	Trade ↗
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	97.7¢	$201	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	No	88.9¢	$196	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the Broncos win the season series against the Chiefs during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	73.0¢	$193	+$21	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	92.4¢	$190	+$0	Trade ↗
Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles	Chiba Lotte Marines	77.5¢	$185	+$42	Trade ↗
Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?	No	64.5¢	$181	+$36	Trade ↗
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	2.0¢	$179	+$36	Trade ↗
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	68.5¢	$178	+$6	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs ReThink (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	Drama eSports	43.3¢	$178	+$61	Trade ↗
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	86.1¢	$175	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Peter Hambálek win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?	No	73.0¢	$173	+$37	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	84.1¢	$171	-$12	Trade ↗
Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	82.0¢	$169	-$11	Trade ↗
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Broncos during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	72.0¢	$168	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	26.5¢	$164	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	99.9¢	$160	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,198,000 and $1,220,000 on September 30?	No	86.6¢	$160	+$21	Trade ↗
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?	No	99.8¢	$160	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?	No	97.1¢	$159	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	99.5¢	$158	-$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
24d ago	Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-15?	SELL	Yes	99.9¢	$19,845