52centis

0xcb4c32ea10e917e5daac3710c64981aebdb66d64· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

-$25,839

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-1%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

40%

61 of 152 resolved

Resolved markets

152

Portfolio value

$41,988

Capital deployed

$1,763,911

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,788

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 0.0/25Sample size 18.2/20Concentration -6.4Total 11.7 / 100

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	39.1¢	$23,984	+$265	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	28.9¢	$7,359	-$998	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	14.0¢	$7,008	+$2	Trade ↗
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	Yes	13.0¢	$1,300	$0	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	10.0¢	$1,149	+$150	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	17.9¢	$436	-$837	Trade ↗
Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?	Yes	23.3¢	$300	-$400	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?	No	24.0¢	$158	-$3	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	No	30.0¢	$151	-$8	Trade ↗
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?	Yes	10.0¢	$114	-$38	Trade ↗
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?	Yes	8.9¢	$27	-$42	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	6.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?	Yes	30.0¢	$0	-$600	Trade ↗
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 18, 2026?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	Yes	6.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	22.9¢	$0	-$5,574	Trade ↗

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
17d ago	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs	SELL	Team Spirit	99.9¢	$11,788