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0xca765a4d03509c1dfed7a061b3fa632190d428b3· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

-$37,986

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-1%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

63%

19 of 30 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

Capital deployed

$4,523,603

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$37,017

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 8.3/25Sample size 7.3/20Concentration 0.0Total 15.7 / 100

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	84.5¢	$0	-$569,842	Trade ↗
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	31.9¢	$0	-$185,946	Trade ↗
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	35.8¢	$0	-$101,704	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?	Yes	84.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	35.2¢	$0	-$95,325	Trade ↗
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	4.5¢	$0	-$591	Trade ↗
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	58.5¢	$0	-$24,569	Trade ↗
Kristi Noem out by March 31?	No	87.7¢	$0	-$11,870	Trade ↗
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	73.7¢	$0	-$78,882	Trade ↗
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	88.3¢	$0	-$56	Trade ↗
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	68.0¢	$0	-$7,421	Trade ↗
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	17.0¢	$0	-$2,043	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	22.1¢	$0	-$26,484	Trade ↗
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	33.0¢	$0	-$201,577	Trade ↗
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	No	83.2¢	$0	-$24,000	Trade ↗

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
42d ago	US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton	BUY	Ben Shelton	29.9¢	$13,435
46d ago	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	BUY	Karen Khachanov	63.7¢	$23,582