BrightStars

57Qualified whaleProven trader

0xc84f7e76ec28ef20e7773b7b4926bfb7378be0c5· stats updated 22h ago

Realized PnL

+$760,475

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

78%

216 of 277 resolved

Resolved markets

277

Portfolio value

$743,031

Capital deployed

$41,243,941

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$142,972

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 27.8/30Return 1.5/25Consistency 17.5/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -9.9Total 56.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50.0¢	$554,125	+$205,399	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$143,326	-$205,399	Trade ↗
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	94.6¢	$28,819	+$1,266	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	12.7¢	$10,026	-$4,962	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	8.4¢	$4,267	-$1,710	Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2026?	No	92.0¢	$2,218	-$12	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	5.0¢	$128	-$1,292	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	4.9¢	$96	-$838	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	57.4¢	$26	+$9	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	27.5¢	$0	-$16,806	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	25.1¢	$0	-$28,207	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	8.5¢	$0	-$98,968	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	3.1¢	$0	-$22,587	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?	Yes	8.2¢	$0	-$10,729	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$7,967	Trade ↗
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	1.3¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	18.5¢	$0	-$9,114	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	30.3¢	$0	-$2,337	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?	Yes	3.3¢	$0	-$4,339	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	4.1¢	$0	-$7,982	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	Yes	4.4¢	$0	-$376	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	Yes	6.0¢	$0	-$145	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$315	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$15,422	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?	Yes	8.1¢	$0	-$14,425	Trade ↗
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	17.6¢	$0	-$107	Trade ↗
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	30.2¢	$0	-$230	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	Yes	12.2¢	$0	-$13,485	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$1,872	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	7.3¢	$0	-$10,731	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$307	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	26.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?	Yes	4.4¢	$0	-$107	Trade ↗
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	22.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	9.5¢	$0	-$4,374	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	6.6¢	$0	-$5,909	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	3.1¢	$0	-$529	Trade ↗
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	59.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	-$815	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	29.6¢	$0	-$58	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?	Yes	1.3¢	$0	-$65	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	4.6¢	$0	-$10,996	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	5.6¢	$0	-$149	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$243	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?	Yes	12.1¢	$0	-$10,469	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	6.7¢	$0	-$2,171	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$1,049	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	7.8¢	$0	-$22,756	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$202	Trade ↗
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?	Yes	15.7¢	$0	-$267	Trade ↗
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	9.3¢	$0	-$6,499	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$74	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	Yes	7.4¢	$0	-$3,641	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	15.7¢	$0	-$1,214	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	8.9¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Yes	12.2¢	$0	-$21,628	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?	Yes	11.2¢	$0	-$20,259	Trade ↗
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	32.2¢	$0	-$23,965	Trade ↗
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	0.2¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	6.8¢	$0	-$8,886	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
34d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	95.9¢	$12,467
57d ago	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	SELL	Yes	86.6¢	$57,709
60d ago	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	BUY	Yes	89.7¢	$49,847
60d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BUY	Yes	11.8¢	$22,949