BrightStars

59Qualified whaleProven trader

0xc84f7e76ec28ef20e7773b7b4926bfb7378be0c5· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$753,347

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

78%

214 of 275 resolved

Resolved markets

275

Portfolio value

$771,069

Capital deployed

$22,097,703

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$130,505

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 27.7/30Return 2.8/25Consistency 17.4/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -9.4Total 58.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50.0¢	$554,057	+$186,875	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$180,280	-$186,863	Trade ↗
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	94.6¢	$28,440	+$887	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	11.0¢	$7,171	-$33,355	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	8.5¢	$584	-$98,384	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	19.0¢	$340	-$420	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	Yes	7.4¢	$172	-$3,469	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	57.4¢	$25	+$9	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	27.5¢	$0	-$16,806	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	25.1¢	$0	-$28,207	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	3.1¢	$0	-$22,587	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?	Yes	8.2¢	$0	-$10,729	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$7,967	Trade ↗
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	1.3¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	18.5¢	$0	-$9,114	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	30.3¢	$0	-$2,337	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?	Yes	3.3¢	$0	-$4,339	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	4.1¢	$0	-$7,982	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	Yes	4.4¢	$0	-$376	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$315	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?	Yes	8.1¢	$0	-$14,425	Trade ↗
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	17.6¢	$0	-$107	Trade ↗
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	30.2¢	$0	-$230	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$1,872	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	7.3¢	$0	-$10,731	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$307	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	26.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?	Yes	4.4¢	$0	-$107	Trade ↗
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	22.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	9.5¢	$0	-$4,374	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	10.5¢	$0	-$9,490	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	3.1¢	$0	-$529	Trade ↗
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	59.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	-$815	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	29.6¢	$0	-$58	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	4.6¢	$0	-$10,996	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	5.6¢	$0	-$149	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$243	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?	Yes	12.1¢	$0	-$10,469	Trade ↗
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	6.7¢	$0	-$2,171	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$1,049	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	7.8¢	$0	-$22,756	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$202	Trade ↗
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?	Yes	15.7¢	$0	-$267	Trade ↗
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	9.3¢	$0	-$6,499	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$74	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	15.7¢	$0	-$1,214	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	11.9¢	$0	-$80	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Yes	12.2¢	$0	-$21,628	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?	Yes	11.2¢	$0	-$20,259	Trade ↗
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	32.2¢	$0	-$23,965	Trade ↗
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	0.2¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	6.8¢	$0	-$8,886	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
12d ago	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	SELL	Yes	86.6¢	$57,709
15d ago	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	BUY	Yes	89.7¢	$49,847
15d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BUY	Yes	11.8¢	$22,949