dreivierteljaeger

43Qualified whaleProven trader

0xc2e98eb992cf48744c9761797497fada7b64e288· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$68,908

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$99

Capital deployed

$1,266,219

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$12,035

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 8.3/30Return 4.5/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -15.0Total 42.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	24.3¢	$99	-$677	Trade ↗
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	79.5¢	$0	-$1,205	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	54.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	88.0¢	$0	-$430	Trade ↗
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	54.1¢	$0	-$4,253	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	8.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	59.5¢	$0	-$550	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	25.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	61.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	59.0¢	$0	-$118	Trade ↗
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	63.5¢	$0	-$160	Trade ↗
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	55.0¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	31.2¢	$0	-$141	Trade ↗
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?	No	39.0¢	$0	-$39	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	78.5¢	$0	-$65	Trade ↗
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	49.7¢	$0	-$15	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	4.4¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	72.5¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	29.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	77.3¢	$0	-$307	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	70.4¢	$0	-$125	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	4.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	52.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	2.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	86.3¢	$0	-$173	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	80.4¢	$0	-$275	Trade ↗
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	24.2¢	$0	-$33	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	7.5¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	43.1¢	$0	-$449	Trade ↗
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	67.0¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	11.7¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	16.9¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	35.0¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	1.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Netherlands	85.3¢	$0	-$225	Trade ↗
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	30.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	33.0¢	$0	-$33	Trade ↗
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance	Senegal	90.0¢	$0	-$1,800	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	17.5¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	1.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	20.7¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?	No	2.4¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	6.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	16.1¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	78.7¢	$0	-$27	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	1.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
United States leading at halftime?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	64.6¢	$0	-$76	Trade ↗
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	19.0¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	1.7¢	$0	-$49	Trade ↗
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	19.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	44.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	59.2¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	No	73.4¢	$0	-$2,614	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	20.1¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	90.6¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	77.0¢	$0	-$154	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	65.1¢	$0	-$27	Trade ↗
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	86.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	55.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	86.1¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	48.0¢	$0	-$24	Trade ↗
Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	52.0¢	$0	-$52	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	1.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	82.0¢	$0	-$164	Trade ↗
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	48.0¢	$0	-$48	Trade ↗
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?	Yes	46.0¢	$0	-$46	Trade ↗
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	66.6¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	46.0¢	$0	-$46	Trade ↗
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	32.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	57.0¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	22.7¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	58.3¢	$0	-$29	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	85.4¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	42.7¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	77.9¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 22?	Yes	37.7¢	$0	-$65	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	16.9¢	$0	-$228	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	54.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	17.2¢	$0	-$52	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	38.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	21.6¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	20.3¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	36.2¢	$0	-$435	Trade ↗
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	Yes	61.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	6.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	83.7¢	$0	-$428	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	47.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	Egypt	80.0¢	$0	-$400	Trade ↗
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	Yes	59.4¢	$0	-$220	Trade ↗
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	39.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	95.0¢	$0	-$190	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	38.0¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	12.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	51.6¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	85.6¢	$0	-$132	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	70.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
39d ago	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	SELL	No	96.7¢	$12,035