makinta

54Qualified whaleProven trader

0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$301,481

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

80%

132 of 164 resolved

Resolved markets

164

Portfolio value

$392,964

Capital deployed

$9,840,383

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$52,733

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 20.3/30Return 2.5/25Consistency 19.1/25Sample size 18.7/20Concentration -6.8Total 53.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	98.6¢	$232,377	+$2,167	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	85.4¢	$61,785	+$8,980	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	93.0¢	$24,450	+$1,200	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	96.7¢	$14,430	-$70	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	97.8¢	$10,962	+$204	Trade ↗
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?	No	98.6¢	$9,930	+$70	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	94.3¢	$9,275	-$155	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	77.4¢	$9,040	-$3,350	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	91.0¢	$7,750	-$1,350	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?	No	95.1¢	$4,745	-$10	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$4,018	+$448	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	Yes	52.5¢	$3,450	-$1,800	Trade ↗
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	91.8¢	$588	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	90.1¢	$109	+$9	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	95.6¢	$46	+$0	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by September 30?	Yes	13.0¢	$8	-$32	Trade ↗
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5	Under	53.0¢	$0	-$21,199	Trade ↗
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance	Olympique Lyonnais	65.4¢	$0	-$22,899	Trade ↗
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	No	87.0¢	$0	-$9,264	Trade ↗
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals	Philadelphia Phillies	65.0¢	$0	-$1,796	Trade ↗
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertens	Marie Bouzkova	46.4¢	$0	-$15,610	Trade ↗
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	89.9¢	$0	-$19,245	Trade ↗
Spread: Spain (-2.5)	Spain	54.0¢	$0	-$1,385	Trade ↗
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	58.5¢	$0	-$23,400	Trade ↗
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskova	Madison Keys	56.6¢	$0	-$46,273	Trade ↗
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	95.5¢	$0	-$8,889	Trade ↗
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5	Over	59.0¢	$0	-$5,900	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	95.7¢	$0	-$7,043	Trade ↗
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5	Under	77.7¢	$0	-$31,901	Trade ↗
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5	Over	52.0¢	$0	-$7,162	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$15,000	Trade ↗
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	46.0¢	$0	-$18,400	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
16d ago	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	98.7¢	$52,733