WhaleWatcher0x4dF63E746b71d3a8e
220xbf0fd14d47d8d785ac19f33aafa6985501f128ce· stats updated 5d ago
Realized PnL
+$16,186
closed + open positions
Return on capital
5%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
80%
4 of 5 resolved
Resolved markets
5
Portfolio value
$18,976
Capital deployed
$295,315
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$15,070
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
7
Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)
PnL 0.0/30Return 4.6/25Consistency 18.8/25Sample size 0.0/20Concentration -1.1Total 22.2 / 100
Current positions
| Market | Outcome | Avg price | Value | Unrealized PnL | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Yes | 23.3¢ | $5,822 | +$504 | Trade ↗ |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 29.3¢ | $5,799 | -$5,150 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 38.6¢ | $3,100 | +$1,169 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 23.1¢ | $3,055 | -$88 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 50.5¢ | $785 | +$387 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 48.5¢ | $388 | +$13 | Trade ↗ |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | Yes | 64.8¢ | $27 | +$6 | Trade ↗ |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 | -$255 | Trade ↗ |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | Yes | 2.0¢ | $0 | -$296 | Trade ↗ |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 | -$267 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | No | 15.6¢ | $0 | -$323 | Trade ↗ |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | Yes | 16.0¢ | $0 | -$1,596 | Trade ↗ |
Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)
| Time | Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33d ago | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | Yes | 24.0¢ | $15,070 |