Raskell

64Qualified whaleProven trader

0xb37aa8834f9baefc6fb3312f59df8ddf0348f1b1· stats updated 7h ago

Realized PnL

+$135,875

closed + open positions

Return on capital

12%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$24,053

Capital deployed

$1,108,230

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$23,154

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 13.8/30Return 10.2/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -4.7Total 64.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$11,667	+$433	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	72.5¢	$5,832	-$1,158	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	63.9¢	$1,163	+$186	Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	63.8¢	$1,025	+$175	Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	Yes	66.3¢	$929	+$205	Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	72.2¢	$759	+$107	Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	Yes	69.1¢	$640	+$146	Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	Yes	62.0¢	$507	+$137	Trade ↗
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	23.6¢	$339	-$2	Trade ↗
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$255	+$5	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	44.7¢	$192	-$344	Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	72.0¢	$158	-$11	Trade ↗
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	49.2¢	$100	+$2	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	40.8¢	$96	-$128	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	33.2¢	$84	-$829	Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	Yes	88.0¢	$71	-$16	Trade ↗
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 21?	Yes	92.4¢	$55	-$10	Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24?	Yes	68.3¢	$51	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	73.6¢	$33	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?	No	75.0¢	$31	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Iraq by November 15, 2026?	Yes	78.0¢	$23	+$4	Trade ↗
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	38.8¢	$22	-$78	Trade ↗
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	11.5¢	$11	-$58	Trade ↗
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$10	-$2	Trade ↗
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	No	94.6¢	$1	$0	Trade ↗
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
47d ago	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	BUY	No	89.0¢	$10,203
77d ago	Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?	BUY	Yes	99.9¢	$12,951