Raskell

63Qualified whaleProven trader

0xb37aa8834f9baefc6fb3312f59df8ddf0348f1b1· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$112,532

closed + open positions

Return on capital

11%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$51,238

Capital deployed

$1,056,954

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$23,154

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 12.2/30Return 8.9/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -2.9Total 63.2 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50.0¢	$20,345	+$6,845	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	88.4¢	$17,086	+$214	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$6,656	-$6,845	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	89.0¢	$1,639	+$27	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	55.0¢	$1,303	-$175	Trade ↗
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?	No	80.4¢	$924	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	74.3¢	$601	+$66	Trade ↗
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$458	+$106	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	26.0¢	$413	-$111	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	33.2¢	$343	-$570	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	44.7¢	$330	-$206	Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?	No	35.0¢	$259	+$131	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	73.6¢	$255	-$19	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	14.9¢	$249	-$283	Trade ↗
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	Yes	36.3¢	$135	-$702	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	64.0¢	$78	+$14	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?	No	76.8¢	$47	+$1	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	89.0¢	$45	+$0	Trade ↗
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	38.8¢	$30	-$70	Trade ↗
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	0.4¢	$23	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?	Yes	44.9¢	$9	-$11	Trade ↗
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$9	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse Together in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Yes	0.3¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse Yashar in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	38.5¢	$0	-$873	Trade ↗
Trump out as President by August 31?	Yes	0.3¢	$0	-$30	Trade ↗
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?	Yes	32.1¢	$0	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?	Yes	25.1¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	Yes	5.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?	No	24.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Alcaraz Play in the U.S. Open?	No	0.6¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	9z	15.0¢	$0	-$150	Trade ↗
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?	No	79.1¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 1?	No	5.3¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	No	10.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Poznan (Poland), clay: Wasiutynski Fryderyk Lechno vs Niklas Guttau	Wasiutynski Fryderyk Lechno	56.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	No	24.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	10.2¢	$0	-$102	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$136	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	BUY	No	89.0¢	$10,203
31d ago	Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?	BUY	Yes	99.9¢	$12,951