WhaleWatcherbettingonwar
220xaff4dcf2845f89f381c3e65ee348526b7c1fde3c· stats updated 3d ago
Realized PnL
+$4,023
closed + open positions
Return on capital
3%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
86%
6 of 7 resolved
Resolved markets
7
Portfolio value
$27,344
Capital deployed
$148,478
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$47,471
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
6
Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)
PnL 0.0/30Return 2.3/25Consistency 22.3/25Sample size 0.0/20Concentration -2.5Total 22.1 / 100
Current positions
| Market | Outcome | Avg price | Value | Unrealized PnL | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 91.0¢ | $10,212 | +$166 | Trade ↗ |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 92.5¢ | $8,691 | -$16 | Trade ↗ |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | Yes | 29.4¢ | $4,544 | -$902 | Trade ↗ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 90.1¢ | $2,055 | +$96 | Trade ↗ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | $1,051 | +$51 | Trade ↗ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 69.4¢ | $792 | +$171 | Trade ↗ |
Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)
| Time | Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d ago | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | BUY | No | 99.7¢ | $13,344 |
| 11d ago | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | Yes | 91.0¢ | $10,046 |
| 45d ago | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | No | 98.7¢ | $24,080 |