SAPolitcsSeer

45Qualified whaleProven trader

0xa30e451354cb41cfd46689a065defed989ea49d5· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$48,936

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

89%

66 of 74 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$201,992

Capital deployed

$2,275,061

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$87,280

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 5.5/30Return 1.8/25Consistency 24.5/25Sample size 13.4/20Concentration -0.3Total 44.9 / 100

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	83.2¢	$53,108	+$2,019	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	98.8¢	$39,224	-$21	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	83.3¢	$24,762	+$2,828	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	98.2¢	$24,488	-$67	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	96.0¢	$20,870	+$826	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	99.1¢	$9,792	+$15	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	81.0¢	$8,300	+$200	Trade ↗
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	91.7¢	$5,787	+$476	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	93.0¢	$5,540	+$15	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	94.2¢	$4,903	-$92	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	91.8¢	$2,520	+$123	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	66.0¢	$2,063	+$185	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	92.5¢	$470	+$5	Trade ↗
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	3.3¢	$166	+$7	Trade ↗

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BUY	No	98.2¢	$24,554
5d ago	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	No	98.8¢	$37,845
14d ago	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY	Yes	88.0¢	$10,032
31d ago	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	BUY	No	99.0¢	$14,849