WhaleWatcher

SAPolitcsSeer

49Qualified whaleProven trader
0xa30e451354cb41cfd46689a065defed989ea49d5· stats updated 2d ago
Realized PnL
+$66,607
closed + open positions
Return on capital
2%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
92%
76 of 83 resolved
Resolved markets
83
Portfolio value
$446,593
Capital deployed
$2,669,217
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$172,175
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
40

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 8.0/30Return 2.1/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 14.1/20Concentration 0.0Total 49.2 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes85.9¢$79,917+$5,679Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No95.2¢$30,730+$1,382Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?No95.0¢$29,783-$229Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes83.3¢$25,420+$3,486Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes93.8¢$21,985+$63Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No97.1¢$20,646+$259Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No94.9¢$20,612+$421Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No94.4¢$19,582+$437Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No94.5¢$19,011+$346Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes94.6¢$16,603+$335Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes92.0¢$15,521+$84Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes92.7¢$11,379-$155Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Yes94.2¢$11,351+$85Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes89.7¢$10,192+$146Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes94.9¢$9,009+$130Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Yes95.0¢$8,826+$47Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes92.0¢$8,750-$450Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes81.0¢$8,050-$50Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?Yes93.6¢$7,747+$180Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes95.0¢$7,634+$126Trade ↗
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes78.8¢$7,104+$803Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?Yes95.0¢$6,902-$187Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes75.0¢$6,865-$140Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No95.0¢$5,984-$96Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes83.9¢$5,370+$338Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?Yes96.0¢$5,109+$21Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes94.2¢$4,691-$304Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes93.0¢$3,524-$196Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat?Yes95.0¢$2,998+$26Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?Yes95.5¢$2,951+$31Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes72.0¢$2,310+$294Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes93.9¢$2,108+$47Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes70.0¢$1,944+$54Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes57.8¢$1,773-$220Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?No92.2¢$1,421-$12Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes65.0¢$998+$23Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes95.8¢$941-$0Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?No95.5¢$554+$3Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more?No90.1¢$199+$11Trade ↗
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes3.3¢$99-$61Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes48.0¢$0-$3,024Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)