Caesar142857

0xa0d4208ce2895a62e74622649cfb7435f3d29942· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$692

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

1 of 1 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$44,790

Capital deployed

$98,649

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$40,449

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.6/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 0.0/20Concentration -14.9Total 10.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	91.9¢	$44,620	+$285	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	10.1¢	$143	-$37	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	5.1¢	$16	-$2	Trade ↗
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	0.5¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	0.5¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	Yes	2.1¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	0.3¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?	Yes	0.9¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $3M and $5M?	Yes	0.4¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	3.7¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3M and $4M?	Yes	1.1¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $7M and $9M?	Yes	0.5¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $9M and $11M?	Yes	1.2¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $5M and $7M?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.5¢	$0	-$209	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
5d ago	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY	Yes	92.0¢	$40,449