WhaleWatcher
ExcaIibur
100x9fa8614cf56a2b39b0586e5ffcc8598d7bac593a· stats updated 2d ago
Realized PnL
-$2,363
closed + open positions
Return on capital
-1%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
51%
57 of 112 resolved
Resolved markets
112
Portfolio value
$3,219
Capital deployed
$167,228
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$13,336
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
6
Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)
PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 0.6/25Sample size 16.1/20Concentration -7.0Total 9.7 / 100
Current positions
| Market | Outcome | Avg price | Value | Unrealized PnL | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 95.1¢ | $1,927 | +$25 | Trade ↗ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 86.1¢ | $521 | -$724 | Trade ↗ |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | No | 83.0¢ | $298 | -$2 | Trade ↗ |
| France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? | No | 89.8¢ | $269 | -$1 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 65.0¢ | $154 | +$24 | Trade ↗ |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? | Yes | 66.3¢ | $51 | -$241 | Trade ↗ |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | Yes | 3.4¢ | $0 | -$10 | Trade ↗ |
Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)
| Time | Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79d ago | Iran leadership change by August 31? | SELL | No | 95.0¢ | $13,336 |