Hakei.

83Qualified whaleProven trader

0x97ead83eb0e6b7f142e63284791882f05ddf3363· stats updated 5d ago

Realized PnL

+$367,014

closed + open positions

Return on capital

20%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$36,356

Capital deployed

$1,875,787

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$14,266

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 21.9/30Return 16.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 83.2 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	Yes	90.8¢	$4,243	-$146	Trade ↗
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?	Yes	93.2¢	$3,806	-$336	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	No	85.0¢	$2,805	+$255	Trade ↗
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	93.2¢	$2,631	+$174	Trade ↗
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	97.0¢	$2,229	+$64	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	78.0¢	$2,115	-$2,664	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	8.0¢	$1,139	-$263	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	37.1¢	$1,007	-$653	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?	No	91.7¢	$1,004	-$5	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	87.0¢	$983	+$53	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?	No	85.0¢	$930	+$80	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	97.6¢	$930	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 10 and 11 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	90.0¢	$777	+$64	Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	14.9¢	$767	-$149	Trade ↗
Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	30.9¢	$760	-$80	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?	Yes	46.3¢	$673	-$1,724	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	25.1¢	$665	-$1,909	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	16.9¢	$605	+$497	Trade ↗
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?	Yes	17.9¢	$566	+$455	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	57.0¢	$557	-$25	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	87.0¢	$547	-$2,024	Trade ↗
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	70.1¢	$506	+$39	Trade ↗
Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	25.0¢	$435	-$315	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	12.0¢	$400	-$80	Trade ↗
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	No	96.1¢	$393	+$4	Trade ↗
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?	No	87.2¢	$369	-$3	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	28.5¢	$364	-$169	Trade ↗
Will Lacy or Marlon die to a wither skeleton?	No	88.0¢	$340	-$12	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	47.9¢	$328	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	18.7¢	$307	-$41	Trade ↗
Iran coup attempt by December 31?	Yes	12.0¢	$294	-$121	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	21.4¢	$275	-$6	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	94.0¢	$236	+$6	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	73.4¢	$222	-$1,490	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	4.9¢	$220	-$333	Trade ↗
Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	7.0¢	$216	+$100	Trade ↗
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	33.0¢	$187	-$55	Trade ↗
Will Lacy and Marlon have 16 or more Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	93.0¢	$134	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	67.1¢	$130	+$26	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?	No	30.0¢	$130	-$170	Trade ↗
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?	Yes	92.2¢	$113	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Yes	35.0¢	$100	-$3,400	Trade ↗
Will Lacy or Marlon die to an ender dragon?	No	81.0¢	$88	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027?	No	77.9¢	$85	+$18	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	98.1¢	$80	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	24.9¢	$75	-$211	Trade ↗
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?	Yes	33.1¢	$67	-$2	Trade ↗
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	No	63.0¢	$64	-$18	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	78.1¢	$59	-$261	Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey's 70mm IMAX run be extended again?	Yes	99.0¢	$52	-$25	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	46.2¢	$31	-$229	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	62.1¢	$31	-$1,704	Trade ↗
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	59.4¢	$30	-$17	Trade ↗
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	No	66.0¢	$29	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	33.4¢	$26	+$17	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	51.0¢	$24	-$2	Trade ↗
Will G2 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	0.2¢	$23	+$20	Trade ↗
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?	Yes	90.0¢	$23	-$143	Trade ↗
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?	Yes	12.2¢	$21	-$43	Trade ↗
Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?	Yes	76.0¢	$18	+$3	Trade ↗
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	No	12.0¢	$15	+$5	Trade ↗
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	28.0¢	$14	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?	No	15.0¢	$12	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	Yes	7.0¢	$10	-$24	Trade ↗
Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?	Yes	40.0¢	$7	+$0	Trade ↗
Will KT be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	0.2¢	$6	+$3	Trade ↗
Will AL be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	0.2¢	$4	+$1	Trade ↗
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$3	-$2	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	23.0¢	$3	-$491	Trade ↗
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 14 and 15 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Yes	1.9¢	$3	+$2	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	14.0¢	$3	-$23	Trade ↗
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	No	8.0¢	$3	+$1	Trade ↗
1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian: O/U 13.5 Total Corners	Over	50.0¢	$3	$0	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?	No	25.0¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	18.0¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	13.3¢	$1	-$6	Trade ↗
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	45.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	Yes	47.0¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	Yes	3.4¢	$0	-$186	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$2,578	Trade ↗
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	38.0¢	$0	-$1,509	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	76.3¢	$0	-$4,685	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	65.2¢	$0	-$8,966	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	6.6¢	$0	-$739	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	10.4¢	$0	-$206	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
8d ago	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	BUY	Yes	95.1¢	$14,266