Hakei.

84Qualified whaleProven trader

0x97ead83eb0e6b7f142e63284791882f05ddf3363· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$391,804

closed + open positions

Return on capital

20%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$45,217

Capital deployed

$1,974,228

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$14,266

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 22.4/30Return 16.5/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 83.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	78.0¢	$5,633	+$433	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	54.3¢	$5,077	+$63	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	65.0¢	$3,380	-$3,120	Trade ↗
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?	No	94.9¢	$3,146	-$17	Trade ↗
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	No	75.7¢	$2,797	-$45	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	85.0¢	$2,663	+$257	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	66.0¢	$2,498	+$298	Trade ↗
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	81.0¢	$2,475	+$45	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	85.3¢	$1,898	-$260	Trade ↗
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$1,370	-$47	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	36.5¢	$1,176	+$61	Trade ↗
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	No	85.7¢	$1,105	+$24	Trade ↗
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?	No	85.0¢	$1,085	+$141	Trade ↗
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Yes	71.7¢	$1,052	-$1,073	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?	No	30.0¢	$999	+$699	Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	14.3¢	$942	-$341	Trade ↗
Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	25.0¢	$794	+$45	Trade ↗
Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	30.9¢	$706	-$134	Trade ↗
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	No	65.5¢	$641	+$24	Trade ↗
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	14.5¢	$640	-$1,213	Trade ↗
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	No	95.5¢	$485	+$14	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	21.4¢	$484	+$203	Trade ↗
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	70.1¢	$446	-$21	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	78.0¢	$398	-$4,381	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	37.1¢	$380	-$1,280	Trade ↗
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?	No	87.2¢	$344	-$29	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	Yes	7.0¢	$342	+$308	Trade ↗
Will UKMTO publish 20 or more notices between October 19-October 25?	No	93.0¢	$274	+$17	Trade ↗
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	12.0¢	$271	-$135	Trade ↗
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	3.8¢	$262	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	18.7¢	$258	-$89	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?	Yes	59.0¢	$199	+$13	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	59.9¢	$142	-$992	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	46.2¢	$93	-$167	Trade ↗
Will G2 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	0.2¢	$93	+$89	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	73.4¢	$85	-$1,627	Trade ↗
Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027?	No	77.9¢	$82	+$15	Trade ↗
Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	7.0¢	$75	-$42	Trade ↗
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	No	63.0¢	$72	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	24.9¢	$52	-$234	Trade ↗
Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?	Yes	41.0¢	$50	+$21	Trade ↗
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?	Yes	33.1¢	$39	-$30	Trade ↗
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?	Yes	12.2¢	$38	-$25	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	12.0¢	$38	-$100	Trade ↗
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	59.4¢	$32	-$16	Trade ↗
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	28.0¢	$21	+$12	Trade ↗
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?	Yes	90.0¢	$20	-$146	Trade ↗
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	33.4¢	$18	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	36.0¢	$14	-$99	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	11.0¢	$9	-$52	Trade ↗
Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?	Yes	40.0¢	$8	+$2	Trade ↗
Will KT be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	0.2¢	$4	+$2	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	11.0¢	$4	-$21	Trade ↗
1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian: O/U 13.5 Total Corners	Over	50.0¢	$3	$0	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	7.0¢	$2	-$5	Trade ↗
Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	13.3¢	$1	-$6	Trade ↗
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$1	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	18.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Yes	35.0¢	$0	-$3,500	Trade ↗
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	No	70.0¢	$0	-$245	Trade ↗
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	Yes	8.8¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	62.1¢	$0	-$1,735	Trade ↗
Semen Padang FC vs. PSIS Semarang: O/U 4.5	Over	17.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	45.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	23.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?	No	15.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Semen Padang FC vs. PSIS Semarang: O/U 8.5	Over	16.6¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?	Yes	49.4¢	$0	-$169	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	66.3¢	$0	-$78	Trade ↗
Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	29.8¢	$0	-$1,990	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 3500+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?	No	9.8¢	$0	-$24	Trade ↗
Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 5 - 5 Greuther Furth?	Yes	58.6¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	49.3¢	$0	-$1,534	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	Yes	47.0¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	25.1¢	$0	-$2,575	Trade ↗
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	55.0¢	$0	-$3,423	Trade ↗
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	Yes	35.0¢	$0	-$1,050	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	87.0¢	$0	-$2,571	Trade ↗
Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?	No	60.0¢	$0	-$30	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	14.0¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	4.9¢	$0	-$553	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
54d ago	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	BUY	Yes	95.1¢	$14,266