Railcool

51Qualified whaleProven trader

0x94c4fe3b18435aa92024c7c1589537fcda3f43ca· stats updated 21h ago

Realized PnL

+$140,162

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

74%

91 of 123 resolved

Resolved markets

123

Portfolio value

$179,267

Capital deployed

$2,378,886

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$15,756

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 14.0/30Return 4.9/25Consistency 15.0/25Sample size 16.8/20Concentration 0.0Total 50.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?	Yes	10.0¢	$50,015	+$45,014	Trade ↗
Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?	Yes	5.1¢	$29,257	+$27,756	Trade ↗
Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	11.3¢	$19,806	+$17,569	Trade ↗
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	34.7¢	$10,953	+$5,914	Trade ↗
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?	Under	57.5¢	$7,390	+$3,138	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	36.1¢	$7,130	-$90	Trade ↗
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	Yes	36.2¢	$6,156	+$1,143	Trade ↗
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?	Over	52.3¢	$5,687	+$2,713	Trade ↗
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	20.8¢	$4,666	+$2,573	Trade ↗
Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?	Yes	23.3¢	$4,310	+$3,307	Trade ↗
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%?	Under	64.9¢	$4,130	+$508	Trade ↗
Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	Yes	40.5¢	$3,779	+$2,249	Trade ↗
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?	Over	68.0¢	$3,489	+$793	Trade ↗
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?	Linke	70.0¢	$3,033	+$258	Trade ↗
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?	Over	16.0¢	$2,934	+$2,464	Trade ↗
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	31.0¢	$2,780	+$45	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.0¢	$2,110	-$1,136	Trade ↗
Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?	Yes	49.5¢	$1,729	+$172	Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	11.6¢	$1,395	+$511	Trade ↗
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	76.0¢	$1,025	+$223	Trade ↗
Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?	AfD	69.0¢	$969	+$21	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	30.4¢	$846	+$30	Trade ↗
Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	37.5¢	$718	+$300	Trade ↗
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	42.7¢	$653	+$131	Trade ↗
Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes?	No	76.0¢	$617	+$69	Trade ↗
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	12.5¢	$558	+$328	Trade ↗
Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	81.0¢	$488	+$83	Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	9.8¢	$413	+$96	Trade ↗
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?	Yes	15.0¢	$348	+$50	Trade ↗
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	Yes	31.4¢	$324	-$74	Trade ↗
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?	Over	53.8¢	$320	+$148	Trade ↗
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Linke Over/Under 12%?	Under	65.1¢	$196	+$68	Trade ↗
Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?	Yes	36.5¢	$184	+$42	Trade ↗
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	37.2¢	$124	+$78	Trade ↗
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?	Under	75.8¢	$117	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	Yes	4.9¢	$106	+$80	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	2.0¢	$105	-$113	Trade ↗
Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?	Over	68.0¢	$101	+$12	Trade ↗
Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	28.4¢	$98	+$63	Trade ↗
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?	Yes	95.0¢	$67	-$34	Trade ↗
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 6%?	Over	84.0¢	$38	+$6	Trade ↗
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?	AfD	33.0¢	$35	+$8	Trade ↗
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?	Grüne	74.0¢	$35	-$43	Trade ↗
Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?	No	63.0¢	$21	+$8	Trade ↗
Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?	Yes	15.0¢	$15	+$8	Trade ↗
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 35%?	Over	65.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	43.9¢	$0	-$2,090	Trade ↗
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	59.0¢	$0	-$285	Trade ↗
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$879	Trade ↗
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	23.7¢	$0	-$8,006	Trade ↗
Will Australia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$33	Trade ↗
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	56.0¢	$0	-$410	Trade ↗
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	36.8¢	$0	-$1,914	Trade ↗
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	17.0¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	Yes	19.4¢	$0	-$277	Trade ↗
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$292	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	35.6¢	$0	-$8,239	Trade ↗
Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?	Yes	42.0¢	$0	-$1,075	Trade ↗
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?	Yes	49.0¢	$0	-$56	Trade ↗
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	28.0¢	$0	-$2,871	Trade ↗
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	81.1¢	$0	-$7,003	Trade ↗
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	1.9¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$495	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	51.0¢	$0	-$4,877	Trade ↗
Will SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes?	Yes	3.8¢	$0	-$397	Trade ↗
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	70.8¢	$0	-$8,970	Trade ↗
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	No	36.0¢	$0	-$2,987	Trade ↗
Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?	Yes	58.4¢	$0	-$290	Trade ↗
Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?	Yes	42.0¢	$0	-$7,006	Trade ↗
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	56.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	76.2¢	$0	-$12,017	Trade ↗
Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	81.0¢	$0	-$595	Trade ↗
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	14.8¢	$0	-$3,902	Trade ↗
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	19.0¢	$0	-$625	Trade ↗
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?	Under	75.0¢	$0	-$2,230	Trade ↗
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	38.4¢	$0	-$4,284	Trade ↗
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	34.1¢	$0	-$6,888	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	51.0¢	$0	-$781	Trade ↗
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	6.4¢	$0	-$1,457	Trade ↗
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$540	Trade ↗
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	34.5¢	$0	-$2,182	Trade ↗
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	55.7¢	$0	-$10,345	Trade ↗
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	47.8¢	$0	-$15,753	Trade ↗
Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 20-25%?	Yes	38.0¢	$0	-$139	Trade ↗
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	20.1¢	$0	-$1,404	Trade ↗
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	23.3¢	$0	-$15,575	Trade ↗
Will Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	78.7¢	$0	-$1,141	Trade ↗
Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	4.4¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
Will SPD win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	39.8¢	$0	-$5,264	Trade ↗
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	39.0¢	$0	-$884	Trade ↗
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	40.3¢	$0	-$748	Trade ↗
Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$800	Trade ↗
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	14.1¢	$0	-$294	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
15d ago	Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?	BUY	Yes	95.0¢	$15,756