Railcool

60Qualified whaleProven trader

0x94c4fe3b18435aa92024c7c1589537fcda3f43ca· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$253,534

closed + open positions

Return on capital

10%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

74%

108 of 145 resolved

Resolved markets

145

Portfolio value

$123,978

Capital deployed

$2,580,836

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$26,756

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 18.8/30Return 8.2/25Consistency 15.3/25Sample size 17.9/20Concentration 0.0Total 60.2 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	Yes	41.6¢	$15,446	+$9,022	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	55.0¢	$13,700	+$2,700	Trade ↗
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	34.7¢	$12,041	+$7,002	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	27.0¢	$11,550	+$3,450	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	14.0¢	$10,000	+$3,000	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	36.1¢	$9,250	+$2,030	Trade ↗
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%?	Under	64.9¢	$5,581	+$1,959	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.0¢	$5,355	+$2,110	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	20.0¢	$4,425	+$1,425	Trade ↗
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?	Over	68.2¢	$4,239	+$1,348	Trade ↗
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?	Linke	70.0¢	$3,965	+$1,190	Trade ↗
Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%?	Under	51.0¢	$3,963	+$1,942	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	13.0¢	$3,000	+$1,050	Trade ↗
Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?	Yes	63.4¢	$3,000	+$1,096	Trade ↗
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	31.0¢	$2,661	-$451	Trade ↗
Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	86.0¢	$2,000	+$281	Trade ↗
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	42.8¢	$1,698	+$971	Trade ↗
Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?	AfD	69.0¢	$1,375	+$426	Trade ↗
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	61.9¢	$1,374	+$374	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	30.7¢	$1,340	-$211	Trade ↗
Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	37.5¢	$1,113	+$696	Trade ↗
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	76.0¢	$1,037	+$235	Trade ↗
Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	Yes	17.8¢	$933	+$767	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	26.0¢	$878	+$293	Trade ↗
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Under	20.9¢	$776	+$614	Trade ↗
Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes?	No	76.0¢	$721	+$173	Trade ↗
Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	81.0¢	$489	+$84	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	39.0¢	$488	+$40	Trade ↗
Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?	Yes	22.9¢	$451	+$348	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	39.0¢	$281	+$23	Trade ↗
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?	Under	75.8¢	$220	+$53	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	23.0¢	$183	+$71	Trade ↗
Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	28.4¢	$111	+$76	Trade ↗
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?	Yes	15.0¢	$109	-$189	Trade ↗
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?	Grüne	74.0¢	$105	+$27	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	2.0¢	$77	-$140	Trade ↗
Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?	Yes	29.5¢	$30	+$21	Trade ↗
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?	Yes	95.0¢	$11	-$90	Trade ↗
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 35%?	Over	65.0¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	43.9¢	$0	-$2,090	Trade ↗
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	59.0¢	$0	-$285	Trade ↗
Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$38	Trade ↗
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$879	Trade ↗
Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	Yes	31.4¢	$0	-$399	Trade ↗
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?	BSW	20.4¢	$0	-$56	Trade ↗
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	23.7¢	$0	-$8,006	Trade ↗
Will Australia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$33	Trade ↗
Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?	Yes	36.5¢	$0	-$141	Trade ↗
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	56.0¢	$0	-$410	Trade ↗
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	29.6¢	$0	-$3,226	Trade ↗
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	36.8¢	$0	-$1,914	Trade ↗
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	17.0¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	Yes	19.4¢	$0	-$277	Trade ↗
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	61.0¢	$0	-$157	Trade ↗
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$292	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	35.6¢	$0	-$8,239	Trade ↗
Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?	Yes	42.0¢	$0	-$1,075	Trade ↗
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?	Yes	49.0¢	$0	-$56	Trade ↗
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	28.0¢	$0	-$2,871	Trade ↗
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	81.1¢	$0	-$7,003	Trade ↗
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	1.9¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$495	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	51.0¢	$0	-$4,877	Trade ↗
Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?	Over	68.0¢	$0	-$383	Trade ↗
Will SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes?	Yes	3.8¢	$0	-$397	Trade ↗
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	70.8¢	$0	-$8,970	Trade ↗
Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?	Yes	58.4¢	$0	-$290	Trade ↗
Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?	Yes	42.0¢	$0	-$7,006	Trade ↗
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?	AfD	33.0¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	56.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	76.2¢	$0	-$12,017	Trade ↗
Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	81.0¢	$0	-$595	Trade ↗
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	14.8¢	$0	-$3,902	Trade ↗
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	19.0¢	$0	-$625	Trade ↗
Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?	No	19.2¢	$0	-$973	Trade ↗
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	38.4¢	$0	-$4,284	Trade ↗
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	34.1¢	$0	-$6,888	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	51.0¢	$0	-$781	Trade ↗
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	6.4¢	$0	-$1,457	Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	9.8¢	$0	-$317	Trade ↗
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$540	Trade ↗
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	34.5¢	$0	-$2,182	Trade ↗
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	55.7¢	$0	-$10,345	Trade ↗
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	47.8¢	$0	-$15,753	Trade ↗
Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	8.7¢	$0	-$56	Trade ↗
Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 20-25%?	Yes	38.0¢	$0	-$139	Trade ↗
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	20.1¢	$0	-$1,404	Trade ↗
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	23.3¢	$0	-$15,575	Trade ↗
Will Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	78.7¢	$0	-$1,141	Trade ↗
Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?	Yes	49.5¢	$0	-$1,557	Trade ↗
Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	4.4¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
Will SPD win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	39.8¢	$0	-$5,264	Trade ↗
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	39.0¢	$0	-$884	Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	11.6¢	$0	-$884	Trade ↗
Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	40.3¢	$0	-$748	Trade ↗
Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$800	Trade ↗
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	14.1¢	$0	-$294	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
34d ago	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	BUY	No	55.0¢	$11,000
61d ago	Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?	BUY	Yes	95.0¢	$15,756