WhaleWatcher

GrokEnjoyer

71Qualified whaleProven trader
0x92e53057ef2872722a53fe807245bd387e1defee· stats updated 6d ago
Realized PnL
+$283,905
closed + open positions
Return on capital
16%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
79%
397 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$86,848
Capital deployed
$1,798,943
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$60,332
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
78

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 19.8/30Return 13.2/25Consistency 18.4/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 71.3 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No77.2¢$10,639+$1,038Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No75.5¢$10,327+$1,094Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No60.7¢$8,336+$1,351Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes55.5¢$4,901+$1,045Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No68.8¢$4,700+$111Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No90.6¢$3,661+$187Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No68.9¢$3,641+$957Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No58.9¢$2,793+$913Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No88.2¢$2,455+$246Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes81.4¢$2,311+$52Trade ↗
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?No85.0¢$2,259+$283Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes25.9¢$2,217+$889Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No84.0¢$2,108+$204Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?No63.3¢$2,065+$519Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?No61.0¢$1,567+$211Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No62.0¢$1,544+$167Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No43.4¢$1,512+$767Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No76.1¢$1,485+$301Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No83.4¢$1,407+$111Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes53.0¢$1,255+$78Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No51.0¢$1,122-$11Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes51.0¢$944-$189Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No74.0¢$917+$94Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No29.0¢$890+$57Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes36.0¢$878+$78Trade ↗
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No59.0¢$839+$183Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No74.0¢$678+$141Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes9.5¢$589-$1,522Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes39.0¢$561+$128Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes80.5¢$452+$72Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes25.6¢$409+$114Trade ↗
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No71.5¢$408+$91Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No34.0¢$405+$102Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No41.0¢$400-$56Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No40.0¢$394-$50Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No79.8¢$383+$65Trade ↗
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes42.0¢$361-$437Trade ↗
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?No90.0¢$359+$15Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes78.0¢$313+$52Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes61.0¢$309+$38Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes39.0¢$306-$128Trade ↗
Anduril IPO before 2027?No90.0¢$277+$9Trade ↗
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No69.8¢$240+$61Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes19.7¢$234+$103Trade ↗
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes26.0¢$222+$78Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes57.0¢$217-$417Trade ↗
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No58.0¢$211+$18Trade ↗
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes88.0¢$211+$16Trade ↗
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No86.0¢$204+$13Trade ↗
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No87.4¢$194+$0Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No36.0¢$189+$29Trade ↗
Kash Patel out by December 31?No48.0¢$170+$63Trade ↗
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?No75.0¢$152+$24Trade ↗
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No31.0¢$144-$28Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No80.0¢$117+$11Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Yes22.0¢$117-$7Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes54.0¢$108-$341Trade ↗
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes16.0¢$94-$83Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No28.2¢$87-$46Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes16.0¢$72-$106Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No28.0¢$58-$35Trade ↗
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Yes34.0¢$51-$100Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No67.0¢$48-$50Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes19.0¢$46+$3Trade ↗
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?No87.0¢$43+$4Trade ↗
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes18.0¢$42+$2Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes33.7¢$41-$41Trade ↗
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes38.5¢$35-$8Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes21.0¢$29-$87Trade ↗
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?No51.0¢$28+$2Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?Yes78.0¢$19+$2Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes17.0¢$14-$23Trade ↗
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?Yes22.0¢$11-$37Trade ↗
Ben Pasternak jailed?Yes58.4¢$11-$245Trade ↗
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Yes27.0¢$5-$10Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Yes28.0¢$4-$11Trade ↗
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes67.0¢$0-$148Trade ↗
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes5.1¢$0-$6Trade ↗
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes34.8¢$0-$516Trade ↗
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?No29.0¢$0-$64Trade ↗
Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?No57.0¢$0-$127Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes23.3¢$0-$1,555Trade ↗
49ers vs. RaidersRaiders69.0¢$0-$306Trade ↗
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes13.0¢$0-$7Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes26.0¢$0-$58Trade ↗
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?Yes20.9¢$0-$301Trade ↗
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?No14.5¢$0-$137Trade ↗
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes14.0¢$0-$8Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
32d agoDota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz - Game 1 WinnerSELLAmaru Gaming51.0¢$28,310
32d agoDota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz - Game 1 WinnerBUYAmaru Gaming53.3¢$20,794
32d agoDota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz - Game 1 WinnerBUYAmaru Gaming62.5¢$11,228