MMemento

17Proven trader

0x8d7069054c0b48a036fb9034ba6761b9a09772ee· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$299

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

71%

112 of 158 resolved

Resolved markets

158

Portfolio value

$1,008

Capital deployed

$437,189

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$35,303

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.1/25Consistency 13.1/25Sample size 18.4/20Concentration -14.8Total 16.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	99.8¢	$999	+$1	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	31.5¢	$9	-$54	Trade ↗
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	Yes	76.6¢	$0	-$14,531	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$484	Trade ↗
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?	Yes	47.0¢	$0	-$145	Trade ↗
Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?	No	36.3¢	$0	-$2,478	Trade ↗
Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?	Yes	2.3¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?	Yes	20.8¢	$0	-$59	Trade ↗
Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will another company be accused of insider trading?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 11, 2026?	No	0.8¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	Yes	24.1¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	6.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading?	Yes	2.5¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	40.5¢	$0	-$177	Trade ↗
Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.1%?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?	Yes	9.4¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.2%?	Yes	0.3¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?	Yes	60.5¢	$0	-$1,120	Trade ↗
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	Yes	0.5¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?	No	4.7¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26?	No	4.9¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	31.0¢	$0	-$31	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	15.5¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	5.1¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	No	14.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?	Yes	11.1¢	$0	-$22	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	1.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	15.8¢	$0	-$220	Trade ↗
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	76.1¢	$0	-$1,218	Trade ↗
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?	No	20.4¢	$0	-$61	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Job" 5+ times during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?	No	72.3¢	$0	-$47	Trade ↗
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?	Yes	29.3¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.3¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?	No	24.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?	Yes	22.0¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?	No	6.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?	No	11.3¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?	Yes	38.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	Yes	20.2¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	52.2¢	$0	-$5,000	Trade ↗
Will "Little Brother" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	25.2¢	$0	-$39	Trade ↗
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	No	41.0¢	$0	-$658	Trade ↗
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?	No	5.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	No	66.7¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	No	0.1¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
13d ago	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	SELL	No	99.9¢	$35,303