frostnovae

29Qualified whaleProven trader

0x8ccedcdd40c9623a524c2e734879fc397b865c11· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$53,890

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

93%

43 of 46 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$40,849

Capital deployed

$1,921,211

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$30,766

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 6.3/30Return 2.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 10.2/20Concentration -15.0Total 28.8 / 100

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	79.1¢	$40,849	+$1,695	Trade ↗
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	41.6¢	$0	-$34,051	Trade ↗
TikTok sale announced in 2025?	No	72.7¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?	No	27.1¢	$0	-$250	Trade ↗
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?	No	65.2¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	34.8¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	69.1¢	$0	-$25,000	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	53.4¢	$0	-$20,875	Trade ↗
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	No	59.0¢	$0	-$57,219	Trade ↗
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?	No	73.5¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	No	54.0¢	$0	-$2,353	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	0.5¢	$0	-$1,504	Trade ↗
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	No	56.8¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	28.3¢	$0	-$18,236	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	No	89.0¢	$0	-$9,445	Trade ↗
OpenAI social app in 2025?	No	84.5¢	$0	-$500	Trade ↗
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	66.5¢	$0	-$23,500	Trade ↗

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	BUY	No	81.3¢	$30,766