Joe-Biden

56Qualified whaleProven trader

0x8b5a7da2fdf239b51b9c68a2a1a35bb156d200f2· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$4,198,307

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

53%

149 of 282 resolved

Resolved markets

282

Portfolio value

$45,913

Capital deployed

$47,449,689

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$13,596

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 7.4/25Consistency 1.8/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -3.2Total 56.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$18,726	-$28,938	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	37.0¢	$16,250	-$2,249	Trade ↗
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	15.0¢	$4,323	-$480	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9.9¢	$3,100	-$6,850	Trade ↗
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	2.3¢	$2,205	+$50	Trade ↗
Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	0.6¢	$752	-$251	Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	27.0¢	$333	-$523	Trade ↗
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	0.4¢	$201	+$116	Trade ↗
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	2.3¢	$18	-$4	Trade ↗
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	3.8¢	$1	-$61	Trade ↗
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	27.0¢	$0	-$54,000	Trade ↗
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	20.1¢	$0	-$4,841	Trade ↗
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	2.4¢	$0	-$511	Trade ↗
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	No	43.0¢	$0	-$12,269	Trade ↗
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$33,220	Trade ↗
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$78	Trade ↗
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	No	39.0¢	$0	-$21,450	Trade ↗
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	No	21.0¢	$0	-$8,400	Trade ↗
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	50.0¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?	Yes	59.0¢	$0	-$1,062	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?	No	48.0¢	$0	-$7,306	Trade ↗
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?	Yes	78.0¢	$0	-$48,354	Trade ↗
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance	Algeria	33.2¢	$0	-$162,385	Trade ↗
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	44.0¢	$0	-$10,404	Trade ↗
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	15.2¢	$0	-$16,745	Trade ↗
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	3.9¢	$0	-$57	Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?	No	67.0¢	$0	-$80,400	Trade ↗
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	8.5¢	$0	-$128,271	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$9,000	Trade ↗
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?	Yes	58.0¢	$0	-$42,010	Trade ↗
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?	Yes	3.9¢	$0	-$861	Trade ↗
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?	Yes	41.0¢	$0	-$4,920	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?	No	41.4¢	$0	-$15,254	Trade ↗
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	No	41.5¢	$0	-$24,900	Trade ↗
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance	Senegal	59.0¢	$0	-$37,317	Trade ↗
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	2.2¢	$0	-$778	Trade ↗
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	No	31.5¢	$0	-$47,238	Trade ↗
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	No	66.0¢	$0	-$49,500	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	35.3¢	$0	-$9,504	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-05?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$5,198	Trade ↗
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance	Croatia	26.9¢	$0	-$18,261	Trade ↗
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	38.7¢	$0	-$121,116	Trade ↗
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	46.0¢	$0	-$27,630	Trade ↗
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$68	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$63	Trade ↗
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	No	35.0¢	$0	-$26,250	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?	Yes	69.0¢	$0	-$58,650	Trade ↗
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	No	18.2¢	$0	-$45,378	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$570	Trade ↗
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?	Yes	29.5¢	$0	-$2,508	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut in 2025?	No	24.1¢	$0	-$19,359	Trade ↗
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	United States	54.0¢	$0	-$40,500	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?	No	42.0¢	$0	-$8,400	Trade ↗
America Party wins a federal or gubernatorial election in 2025?	Yes	7.8¢	$0	-$302	Trade ↗
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	No	23.0¢	$0	-$45,999	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?	No	37.3¢	$0	-$38,454	Trade ↗
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance	Colombia	54.5¢	$0	-$30,019	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?	No	57.0¢	$0	-$45,600	Trade ↗
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	26.5¢	$0	-$53,000	Trade ↗
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?	No	19.0¢	$0	-$1,900	Trade ↗
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance	Norway	21.0¢	$0	-$62,978	Trade ↗
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	41.7¢	$0	-$328	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 31?	No	3.1¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance	Paraguay	7.6¢	$0	-$37,896	Trade ↗
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$23,571	Trade ↗
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Canada	27.0¢	$0	-$67,500	Trade ↗
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$2,392	Trade ↗
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?	Yes	62.0¢	$0	-$12,090	Trade ↗
Grokipedia released by December 31?	No	15.0¢	$0	-$151	Trade ↗
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$10,601	Trade ↗
Chargers vs. Raiders	Raiders	37.0¢	$0	-$40,000	Trade ↗
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	No	26.0¢	$0	-$26,000	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?	No	16.0¢	$0	-$390	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?	No	33.0¢	$0	-$1,165	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?	No	40.0¢	$0	-$1,502	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?	Yes	39.0¢	$0	-$195	Trade ↗
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	No	53.0¢	$0	-$26,500	Trade ↗
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	83.0¢	$0	-$49,800	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$6,500	Trade ↗
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?	Yes	12.0¢	$0	-$305	Trade ↗
Will Trump resign today?	Yes	0.5¢	$0	-$7,718	Trade ↗
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	No	45.0¢	$0	-$112,500	Trade ↗
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance	Ecuador	37.0¢	$0	-$148,000	Trade ↗
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	84.0¢	$0	-$25,200	Trade ↗
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	41.0¢	$0	-$61,500	Trade ↗
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?	Yes	4.7¢	$0	-$110	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?	Yes	15.0¢	$0	-$15,000	Trade ↗
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-17?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$14,000	Trade ↗
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	36.0¢	$0	-$10,800	Trade ↗
Will Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	-$20,000	Trade ↗
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?	No	21.6¢	$0	-$17,590	Trade ↗
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	No	53.0¢	$0	-$74,200	Trade ↗
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$11,826	Trade ↗
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?	Yes	3.3¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	6.1¢	$0	-$38,944	Trade ↗
Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)	Houston Dynamo	20.5¢	$0	-$318	Trade ↗
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	31.0¢	$0	-$944	Trade ↗
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	No	5.9¢	$0	-$642	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$7,031	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
63d ago	UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)	BUY	Gregory Rodrigues	34.0¢	$13,596