0x8931…a90c

44Qualified whaleProven trader

0x8931aa50226eea3e626c961ccffcf176dcf3a90c· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$39,598

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$1,189,202

Capital deployed

$25,987,154

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$39,349

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

165

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 3.7/30Return 0.1/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -4.6Total 44.2 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50.0¢	$572,476	+$192,598	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$187,280	-$192,598	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	96.5¢	$48,256	+$344	Trade ↗
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	98.0¢	$29,228	+$227	Trade ↗
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	98.0¢	$28,236	+$160	Trade ↗
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	89.7¢	$24,234	+$1,768	Trade ↗
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	93.8¢	$19,651	+$362	Trade ↗
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	97.0¢	$19,175	+$129	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	95.7¢	$16,443	+$153	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	96.2¢	$15,177	+$207	Trade ↗
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	97.6¢	$13,678	+$5	Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	94.2¢	$13,677	+$184	Trade ↗
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	98.3¢	$12,634	+$49	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	96.5¢	$8,634	+$166	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	98.1¢	$7,909	+$28	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	96.8¢	$7,719	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	97.5¢	$6,234	+$72	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	97.8¢	$5,978	+$76	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	97.4¢	$4,987	-$13	Trade ↗
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	93.0¢	$4,828	+$76	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	96.5¢	$4,703	+$91	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	96.4¢	$4,662	+$94	Trade ↗
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	No	96.3¢	$4,303	+$91	Trade ↗
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	96.6¢	$4,010	+$69	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	96.1¢	$3,772	+$46	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	90.0¢	$3,724	+$177	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	92.5¢	$3,710	+$76	Trade ↗
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	93.0¢	$3,591	+$76	Trade ↗
Human moon landing in 2026?	No	97.2¢	$3,558	+$68	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	96.8¢	$3,542	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	No	97.8¢	$3,161	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	97.8¢	$3,116	+$49	Trade ↗
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	96.7¢	$2,539	+$65	Trade ↗
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	No	97.5¢	$2,520	+$54	Trade ↗
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?	No	96.8¢	$2,510	+$71	Trade ↗
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	88.1¢	$2,411	+$74	Trade ↗
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?	No	96.0¢	$2,403	+$56	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	97.6¢	$2,348	+$31	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?	No	99.8¢	$2,266	+$1	Trade ↗
Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026?	No	96.2¢	$2,203	+$35	Trade ↗
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	99.0¢	$2,203	$0	Trade ↗
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	97.2¢	$2,086	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	96.6¢	$2,004	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	99.9¢	$1,999	+$1	Trade ↗
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	88.3¢	$1,968	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	95.6¢	$1,933	-$10	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	90.0¢	$1,870	+$70	Trade ↗
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	97.2¢	$1,863	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	96.0¢	$1,779	+$35	Trade ↗
Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	97.5¢	$1,700	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	97.0¢	$1,660	-$2	Trade ↗
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	96.5¢	$1,575	+$1	Trade ↗
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?	No	96.3¢	$1,574	+$54	Trade ↗
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	90.3¢	$1,572	+$53	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	No	93.2¢	$1,486	+$36	Trade ↗
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?	No	96.5¢	$1,354	+$8	Trade ↗
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	97.5¢	$1,333	-$1	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	88.8¢	$1,330	-$27	Trade ↗
Obama federally charged before 2027?	No	94.7¢	$1,324	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027?	No	96.0¢	$1,193	+$18	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?	No	91.3¢	$1,165	+$53	Trade ↗
Will Alberta join the US?	No	97.2¢	$1,138	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	97.3¢	$1,135	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	97.3¢	$1,129	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	No	95.5¢	$1,040	+$23	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	96.1¢	$1,020	+$18	Trade ↗
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	No	95.1¢	$1,011	+$5	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	No	98.9¢	$1,011	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	94.0¢	$1,005	+$16	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?	No	99.9¢	$1,000	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	95.0¢	$985	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	92.0¢	$984	+$64	Trade ↗
Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	95.0¢	$962	+$28	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	No	96.0¢	$935	+$4	Trade ↗
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	94.0¢	$926	+$19	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$925	+$45	Trade ↗
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	No	95.0¢	$924	-$37	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	97.5¢	$907	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	52.8¢	$872	+$208	Trade ↗
Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	94.9¢	$819	+$32	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	No	97.0¢	$770	+$10	Trade ↗
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	86.7¢	$766	-$54	Trade ↗
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto	Nothing	96.1¢	$731	+$6	Trade ↗
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	96.2¢	$729	+$9	Trade ↗
Trump goes to space in 2026?	No	98.3¢	$723	-$3	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	56.0¢	$719	+$131	Trade ↗
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	94.7¢	$718	+$12	Trade ↗
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	96.1¢	$694	+$5	Trade ↗
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	97.3¢	$663	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Betmoar launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$634	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Trump deport less than 200k people?	No	98.0¢	$602	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2026?	No	95.0¢	$592	+$18	Trade ↗
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	95.2¢	$588	+$19	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	95.0¢	$582	+$18	Trade ↗
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	97.9¢	$576	+$6	Trade ↗
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$541	-$6	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	No	97.5¢	$513	+$13	Trade ↗
EU dissolves before 2027?	No	97.5¢	$508	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?	No	92.8¢	$504	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	90.9¢	$501	+$14	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
29d ago	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	BUY	Yes	99.8¢	$39,349