de5nuts

36Qualified whaleProven trader

0x80a0da00fbdc8440b0ef601341f14c3e24795708· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$184,309

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

46%

137 of 301 resolved

Resolved markets

301

Portfolio value

$88,537

Capital deployed

$6,310,007

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,279

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 16.3/30Return 2.4/25Consistency 0.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -2.6Total 36.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	87.9¢	$33,865	+$3,363	Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	94.0¢	$11,364	+$85	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	90.3¢	$9,914	+$252	Trade ↗
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	46.2¢	$5,611	-$4,171	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	64.3¢	$4,175	+$45	Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	25.0¢	$3,796	-$7,391	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	89.0¢	$3,780	+$220	Trade ↗
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.2¢	$3,184	+$638	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	7.9¢	$2,662	+$1,473	Trade ↗
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	17.1¢	$2,655	+$909	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	10.5¢	$1,241	-$628	Trade ↗
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	80.0¢	$1,218	+$51	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	67.0¢	$892	+$79	Trade ↗
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	12.0¢	$821	+$258	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	48.0¢	$540	+$37	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5.5¢	$468	+$302	Trade ↗
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.3¢	$409	+$51	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	17.3¢	$407	-$4,147	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	6.0¢	$375	+$75	Trade ↗
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	4.3¢	$260	+$91	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	24.0¢	$188	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.5¢	$165	+$15	Trade ↗
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.6¢	$125	-$35	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	63.9¢	$109	-$186	Trade ↗
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.5¢	$105	-$45	Trade ↗
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$96	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$95	-$136	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	8.6¢	$17	-$41	Trade ↗
Will Barcelona host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	23.3¢	$0	-$644	Trade ↗
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	8.0¢	$0	-$40	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	13.3¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	France	59.5¢	$0	-$1,833	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	41.2¢	$0	-$10,633	Trade ↗
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	5.2¢	$0	-$101	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	16.4¢	$0	-$875	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$165	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	44.8¢	$0	-$710	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	34.5¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	31.9¢	$0	-$1,276	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	12.0¢	$0	-$96	Trade ↗
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	2.3¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	3.4¢	$0	-$339	Trade ↗
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?	Yes	20.2¢	$0	-$635	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$87	Trade ↗
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	28.5¢	$0	-$5,311	Trade ↗
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$140	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	15.5¢	$0	-$1,556	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	6.2¢	$0	-$682	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	-$55	Trade ↗
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?	Yes	2.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	5.6¢	$0	-$196	Trade ↗
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?	Yes	1.7¢	$0	-$64	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	10.0¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$40	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$130	Trade ↗
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	3.6¢	$0	-$268	Trade ↗
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	England	52.5¢	$0	-$219	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	Yes	15.9¢	$0	-$2,580	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	6.8¢	$0	-$507	Trade ↗
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$140	Trade ↗
Spread: Spain (-1.5)	Spain	20.0¢	$0	-$400	Trade ↗
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$377	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
18d ago	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	No	94.0¢	$11,279