Lisbon

44Qualified whaleProven trader

0x8055ae09bfeeac2f46dffe254cc1868f2df444c4· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$29,805

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$70,059

Capital deployed

$2,677,607

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$80,125

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 1.4/30Return 0.9/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -3.6Total 43.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50.0¢	$29,982	+$12,820	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	92.0¢	$10,471	-$57	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$7,770	+$270	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	90.0¢	$4,575	+$75	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$4,342	-$12,820	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?	No	92.5¢	$2,777	-$15	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?	No	89.3¢	$2,564	+$171	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Yes	92.1¢	$2,103	-$15	Trade ↗
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by October 31?	No	98.0¢	$1,094	+$16	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	96.1¢	$1,003	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?	Yes	81.6¢	$843	+$34	Trade ↗
Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?	No	97.4¢	$593	+$6	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?	No	79.0¢	$513	+$36	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?	Yes	61.7¢	$461	-$1	Trade ↗
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	94.1¢	$350	+$18	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?	No	60.0¢	$155	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	97.0¢	$100	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	93.1¢	$100	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	94.5¢	$97	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat?	No	8.3¢	$49	-$9	Trade ↗
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?	No	97.8¢	$40	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	93.8¢	$15	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat?	Yes	10.0¢	$13	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	95.0¢	$10	$0	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	94.1¢	$10	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	97.3¢	$10	+$0	Trade ↗
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	98.1¢	$10	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	96.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	96.2¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	74.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	91.8¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	44.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	No	93.2¢	$0	-$373	Trade ↗
Dana White's Contender Series: Jason Asher vs. Greg Foster (Featherweight, Main Card)	Jason Asher	65.0¢	$0	-$64	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
39d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SELL	No	99.1¢	$29,730
52d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.9¢	$25,853
54d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	99.4¢	$12,538
63d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	BUY	No	99.7¢	$12,004