Lisbon

40Proven trader

0x8055ae09bfeeac2f46dffe254cc1868f2df444c4· stats updated 18h ago

Realized PnL

+$22,991

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$69,366

Capital deployed

$2,534,905

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$50,395

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.8/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -5.7Total 40.1 / 100

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	99.4¢	$37,025	-$68	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	97.7¢	$9,910	+$138	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	99.0¢	$5,626	+$26	Trade ↗
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	94.5¢	$5,012	+$54	Trade ↗
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	92.3¢	$3,190	+$171	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50.0¢	$2,950	-$15	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$2,540	+$13	Trade ↗
Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	99.8¢	$1,475	+$1	Trade ↗
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	99.6¢	$1,000	+$4	Trade ↗
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	94.1¢	$344	+$12	Trade ↗
US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	91.8¢	$272	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	97.3¢	$10	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	98.2¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	96.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	44.0¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?	No	90.6¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	74.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	12.5¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
6d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.9¢	$25,853
8d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	99.4¢	$12,538
18d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	BUY	No	99.7¢	$12,004