Novapm

0x7e25f3dbd55afd690302c4abcd8c3fb182d39712· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

-$112,043

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-9%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

33%

64 of 195 resolved

Resolved markets

195

Portfolio value

$18,793

Capital deployed

$1,225,131

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,687

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 0.0/25Sample size 19.8/20Concentration -7.2Total 12.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	66.0¢	$11,416	+$729	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	49.0¢	$4,750	-$150	Trade ↗
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	24.1¢	$1,346	+$934	Trade ↗
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	Yes	41.6¢	$724	-$904	Trade ↗
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?	Yes	20.7¢	$346	+$274	Trade ↗
LAPTOP airdrop by September 30?	Yes	82.4¢	$211	+$0	Trade ↗
LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?	No	17.0¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?	Yes	16.7¢	$0	-$52	Trade ↗
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 11m?	Yes	7.4¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 162m and 167m?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$130	Trade ↗
Will AEK win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?	Yes	15.8¢	$0	-$156	Trade ↗
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?	Yes	39.2¢	$0	-$2,155	Trade ↗
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	No	9.4¢	$0	-$785	Trade ↗
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 67m?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$332	Trade ↗
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?	No	7.5¢	$0	-$78	Trade ↗
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?	Yes	22.7¢	$0	-$90	Trade ↗
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	Yes	15.6¢	$0	-$971	Trade ↗
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$11,360	Trade ↗
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$11,360	Trade ↗
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$11,360	Trade ↗
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$11,360	Trade ↗
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$11,360	Trade ↗
Will "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$11,360	Trade ↗
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$11,360	Trade ↗
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$11,360	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
10d ago	Fed rate hike in 2026?	BUY	Yes	66.0¢	$10,687