HongKongMenace

41Qualified whaleProven trader

0x791976e861822c1f6d13f719d2c80e8deb9b72b2· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$60,686

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

88%

46 of 52 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$36,402

Capital deployed

$1,549,334

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$55,959

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 7.2/30Return 3.3/25Consistency 24.0/25Sample size 11.0/20Concentration -4.2Total 41.3 / 100

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	88.0¢	$16,754	+$95	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	98.3¢	$14,677	-$45	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	64.5¢	$2,530	-$5,057	Trade ↗
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	78.0¢	$1,042	+$190	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	19.2¢	$610	-$7	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	74.3¢	$484	+$51	Trade ↗
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2.8¢	$305	+$32	Trade ↗
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	57.6¢	$1	-$673	Trade ↗
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?	No	97.7¢	$0	-$307	Trade ↗
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	15.9¢	$0	-$2,765	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	98.5¢	$0	-$15,341	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	92.2¢	$0	-$19,196	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	Yes	32.5¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	83.8¢	$0	-$709	Trade ↗

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BUY	No	98.3¢	$14,722
19d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	BUY	No	96.0¢	$41,238