expectless

5Proven trader

0x78c66755790cce49927ed6269b70ef4354654710· stats updated 6d ago

Realized PnL

+$3,141

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

59%

47 of 80 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$157,300

Capital deployed

$20,858,425

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$588,747

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 5.5/25Sample size 13.9/20Concentration -14.5Total 4.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	99.3¢	$153,073	+$337	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	13.6¢	$4,085	-$11,151	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	35.9¢	$107	-$406	Trade ↗
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$35	-$239	Trade ↗
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	52.0¢	$0	-$25,999	Trade ↗
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	28.3¢	$0	-$103,095	Trade ↗
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$1,610	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$1,159	Trade ↗
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	20.9¢	$0	-$125,544	Trade ↗
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$1,131	Trade ↗
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$1,400	Trade ↗
Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-30?	Yes	13.3¢	$0	-$2,850	Trade ↗
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?	No	16.8¢	$0	-$2,882	Trade ↗
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1.9¢	$0	-$18,771	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	6.4¢	$0	-$1,635	Trade ↗
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	Yes	19.6¢	$0	-$780	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	No	8.5¢	$0	-$2,389	Trade ↗
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$676	Trade ↗
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?	Yes	42.6¢	$0	-$45,960	Trade ↗
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?	No	26.3¢	$0	-$464	Trade ↗
Trump out as President by March 31?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$902	Trade ↗
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$3,188	Trade ↗
Will Solana reach $160 in December?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$124	Trade ↗
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	26.6¢	$0	-$79,875	Trade ↗
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	24.9¢	$0	-$110,679	Trade ↗
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$79	Trade ↗
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$13,984	Trade ↗
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	56.1¢	$0	-$84,237	Trade ↗
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?	Yes	72.0¢	$0	-$52,200	Trade ↗
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	2.2¢	$0	-$1,277	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	No	33.3¢	$0	-$3,721	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	19.8¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$158	Trade ↗
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$3,200	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
30d ago	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	No	99.8¢	$144,943
30d ago	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	No	99.7¢	$24,644
30d ago	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	No	99.8¢	$249,500
32d ago	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	No	99.8¢	$169,660