gambler925

23Proven trader

0x76dbc01caffa54d0010368ff8d3226d8017f6987· stats updated 7d ago

Realized PnL

+$7,954

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

55%

134 of 244 resolved

Resolved markets

244

Portfolio value

$37,963

Capital deployed

$541,156

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,752

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 1.2/25Consistency 3.1/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -1.7Total 22.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	92.4¢	$12,647	+$681	Trade ↗
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	79.1¢	$4,896	+$559	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	42.0¢	$4,097	+$965	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	53.1¢	$3,617	-$510	Trade ↗
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	85.0¢	$2,508	+$252	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	63.2¢	$2,171	+$75	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	73.5¢	$1,389	+$222	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	33.8¢	$1,077	-$42	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	78.7¢	$917	+$106	Trade ↗
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	70.3¢	$682	+$158	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	19.7¢	$548	-$532	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	54.8¢	$530	+$7	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	14.4¢	$475	-$243	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	43.7¢	$293	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	77.7¢	$272	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	14.4¢	$236	-$521	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	No	25.2¢	$183	-$218	Trade ↗
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	89.0¢	$164	+$15	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs SportsBetExpert - Map 2 Winner	LAG Gaming	99.0¢	$121	+$1	Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	71.0¢	$114	-$1	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	61.2¢	$95	+$2	Trade ↗
Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k?	Yes	87.0¢	$93	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	47.8¢	$85	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	68.8¢	$68	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	21.5¢	$67	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	48.8¢	$63	-$20	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	13.0¢	$60	-$37	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	73.0¢	$58	-$37	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	39.0¢	$58	+$19	Trade ↗
Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?	Yes	26.7¢	$53	-$26	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	26.0¢	$46	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	58.0¢	$42	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	36.4¢	$39	-$2	Trade ↗
Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?	Yes	72.2¢	$38	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	Yes	72.0¢	$27	+$4	Trade ↗
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?	No	60.9¢	$26	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	25.8¢	$26	+$1	Trade ↗
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	38.6¢	$13	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Jascha Rohr win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?	Yes	64.2¢	$12	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?	Yes	35.3¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	50.5¢	$7	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	64.5¢	$7	+$0	Trade ↗
Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 50k and 70k?	Yes	12.0¢	$6	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?	Yes	70.0¢	$5	-$0	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	65.0¢	$4	+$2	Trade ↗
Will ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?	Yes	80.0¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	34.5¢	$3	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	10.0¢	$3	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	45.0¢	$2	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	Yes	25.0¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Oliver Junk win the next Hannover Region presidential election?	Yes	21.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	0.4¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	Yes	55.4¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will MLSTP win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?	Yes	19.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?	Yes	14.5¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
7d ago	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	BUY	No	97.9¢	$11,752