gambler925

35Qualified whaleProven trader

0x76dbc01caffa54d0010368ff8d3226d8017f6987· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$63,003

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

56%

279 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$26,777

Capital deployed

$1,530,829

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,752

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 7.5/30Return 3.4/25Consistency 3.6/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 34.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	94.2¢	$4,902	-$351	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	80.0¢	$3,713	-$396	Trade ↗
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	55.8¢	$3,538	+$1,498	Trade ↗
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	74.4¢	$3,084	+$84	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	Yes	62.6¢	$1,427	+$203	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	18.2¢	$1,017	+$229	Trade ↗
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	24.3¢	$867	-$114	Trade ↗
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	65.2¢	$856	-$16	Trade ↗
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	Yes	32.9¢	$807	+$385	Trade ↗
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	30.3¢	$686	+$307	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	7.4¢	$597	+$182	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	67.8¢	$591	-$256	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	35.9¢	$573	-$163	Trade ↗
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	67.3¢	$542	-$458	Trade ↗
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	32.5¢	$475	+$40	Trade ↗
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	67.4¢	$455	+$144	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	87.6¢	$259	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?	Yes	65.6¢	$223	+$9	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	95.3¢	$219	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 23, 2026?	No	91.3¢	$173	+$14	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	63.0¢	$153	+$27	Trade ↗
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	26.6¢	$151	+$60	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	11.8¢	$143	-$467	Trade ↗
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	48.0¢	$141	+$41	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	20.1¢	$136	+$24	Trade ↗
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	No	39.3¢	$130	-$1,197	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?	Yes	20.5¢	$106	+$39	Trade ↗
Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	33.6¢	$102	-$14	Trade ↗
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	24.7¢	$95	+$10	Trade ↗
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	28.0¢	$91	+$64	Trade ↗
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?	No	83.0¢	$81	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	48.9¢	$67	-$35	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast hit 144 billion views by October 31?	Yes	97.8¢	$61	-$1	Trade ↗
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	37.0¢	$53	-$21	Trade ↗
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	21.5¢	$50	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	71.0¢	$48	+$1	Trade ↗
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	10.3¢	$37	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	Yes	73.1¢	$25	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	78.8¢	$24	-$534	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	No	27.1¢	$18	-$0	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast hit 524 million subscribers by October 31?	No	44.0¢	$11	-$3	Trade ↗
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	70.2¢	$8	-$61	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	3.6¢	$8	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	Yes	10.0¢	$8	+$5	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	26.0¢	$8	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	36.0¢	$5	+$2	Trade ↗
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	21.4¢	$3	-$95	Trade ↗
Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Yes	30.5¢	$3	-$55	Trade ↗
Kamala Harris Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	0.9¢	$2	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?	Yes	1.0¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	1.5¢	$1	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?	Yes	14.5¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
52d ago	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	BUY	No	97.9¢	$11,752