0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710

84Qualified whaleProven trader

0x75d1b199a96801338e67a6efaa35c0028ea87a5f· stats updated 5h ago

Realized PnL

+$393,669

closed + open positions

Return on capital

24%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$3,444

Capital deployed

$1,660,627

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$16,368

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 22.4/30Return 19.8/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -2.9Total 84.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	52.7¢	$1,355	+$575	Trade ↗
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	15.1¢	$654	-$170	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	79.1¢	$444	+$33	Trade ↗
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	13.0¢	$207	-$586	Trade ↗
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	No	65.8¢	$174	+$42	Trade ↗
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	Yes	27.6¢	$129	-$125	Trade ↗
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	50.6¢	$84	+$31	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?	Yes	43.7¢	$67	-$258	Trade ↗
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	No	62.4¢	$64	-$18	Trade ↗
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	23.0¢	$55	+$7	Trade ↗
Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	22.0¢	$50	-$38	Trade ↗
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	No	61.0¢	$35	+$12	Trade ↗
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	21.7¢	$21	-$74	Trade ↗
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	28.1¢	$15	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	Yes	28.1¢	$15	-$61	Trade ↗
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?	No	88.0¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes	8.0¢	$9	-$27	Trade ↗
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	Yes	9.3¢	$8	-$15	Trade ↗
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	11.0¢	$8	-$7	Trade ↗
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	Yes	16.1¢	$7	-$15	Trade ↗
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?	No	73.0¢	$6	+$0	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?	Yes	19.0¢	$5	-$21	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?	Yes	12.0¢	$5	-$13	Trade ↗
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	Yes	33.0¢	$4	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?	Yes	16.7¢	$4	-$7	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?	No	8.0¢	$3	-$7	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?	No	20.0¢	$3	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	17.3¢	$2	-$54	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?	Yes	21.5¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Clémentine Autain be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	23.0¢	$1	-$7	Trade ↗
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?	Yes	29.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	16.6¢	$1	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Belal Muhammad become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	31.3¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?	Yes	74.0¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	Yes	73.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	8.0¢	$0	-$33	Trade ↗
Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	16.6¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	29.8¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	9.6¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Seattle Sounders FC next?	Yes	18.7¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will either Tate brother be arrested by June 30?	Yes	29.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	No	52.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	Yes	4.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Oakland Athletics win the 2026 AL West title?	Yes	4.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No	15.4¢	$0	-$24	Trade ↗
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	79.0¢	$0	-$8,027	Trade ↗
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	47.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	No	47.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Aoi Yuki as Maomao (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	67.8¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	56.4¢	$0	-$70	Trade ↗
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	No	40.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will JD Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?	Yes	24.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	28.2¢	$0	-$68	Trade ↗
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	54.0¢	$0	-$50	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	17.5¢	$0	-$63	Trade ↗
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$27	Trade ↗
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	No	19.0¢	$0	-$28	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	11.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Jeff Hurd be the Republican nominee for CO-03?	No	73.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?	Yes	25.9¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	No	25.3¢	$0	-$31	Trade ↗
Will Gina Swoboda be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	31.5¢	$0	-$327	Trade ↗
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?	Yes	39.3¢	$0	-$44	Trade ↗
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?	No	10.0¢	$0	-$86	Trade ↗
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	47.1¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Kim Jong-hoon win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	Yes	4.4¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?	No	5.0¢	$0	-$37	Trade ↗
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	Yes	8.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	No	78.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	Yes	17.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$49	Trade ↗
Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?	No	65.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Adam Steen win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	24.8¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?	Yes	29.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	24.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?	Yes	48.0¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	15.3¢	$0	-$2,505	Trade ↗
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	16.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?	No	39.3¢	$0	-$29	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	35.0¢	$0	-$3,322	Trade ↗
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Alec Pierce be traded?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	24.8¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?	Yes	29.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?	Yes	40.7¢	$0	-$124	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	61.9¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the CA-17 primary?	Yes	83.6¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	No	68.7¢	$0	-$323	Trade ↗
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?	No	46.0¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?	Yes	86.0¢	$0	-$36	Trade ↗
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	8.0¢	$0	-$139	Trade ↗
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	14.3¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Will Umar Nurmagomedov be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	Yes	30.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
20d ago	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	SELL	No	95.0¢	$16,368