cqk

74Qualified whaleProven trader

0x736539924a5602b37a03a54fc12c1cc8f98964da· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$189,648

closed + open positions

Return on capital

15%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$50,029

Capital deployed

$1,306,022

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,029

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

117

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 16.5/30Return 12.1/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 73.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	47.5¢	$5,725	+$2,369	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	64.6¢	$2,954	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	71.9¢	$2,852	+$273	Trade ↗
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	86.6¢	$2,776	+$105	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	14.9¢	$2,075	+$400	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	75.9¢	$1,952	+$278	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	6.7¢	$1,855	+$812	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	29.5¢	$1,773	+$1,069	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	34.4¢	$1,728	+$311	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	13.7¢	$1,689	-$989	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	68.9¢	$1,673	+$60	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	65.9¢	$1,666	+$426	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	79.4¢	$1,423	+$93	Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	23.4¢	$1,251	-$1,091	Trade ↗
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?	Yes	64.5¢	$1,102	+$241	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	71.6¢	$1,090	-$33	Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	50.4¢	$1,070	+$467	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	66.3¢	$1,051	-$38	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	39.5¢	$934	+$106	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	73.0¢	$677	+$18	Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	71.2¢	$613	+$128	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	Yes	17.3¢	$490	-$248	Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	65.8¢	$489	+$102	Trade ↗
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	73.0¢	$487	+$80	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	59.1¢	$454	+$130	Trade ↗
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	83.6¢	$411	+$38	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1.0¢	$386	+$172	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	22.5¢	$385	+$51	Trade ↗
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?	Yes	87.1¢	$375	-$23	Trade ↗
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?	Yes	76.6¢	$370	+$42	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	86.0¢	$359	+$10	Trade ↗
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?	No	70.0¢	$328	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	2.1¢	$317	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	17.0¢	$316	+$146	Trade ↗
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?	Yes	71.9¢	$314	-$121	Trade ↗
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	68.9¢	$310	+$25	Trade ↗
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?	Yes	87.1¢	$301	+$19	Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	78.6¢	$277	+$42	Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	6.0¢	$260	+$20	Trade ↗
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	33.9¢	$259	-$369	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	Yes	64.3¢	$255	-$87	Trade ↗
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?	No	30.6¢	$245	+$65	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	Yes	12.0¢	$243	+$123	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	6.6¢	$240	+$32	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	11.9¢	$227	+$8	Trade ↗
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	45.0¢	$211	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	44.3¢	$195	-$4	Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	87.5¢	$168	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	7.0¢	$165	+$11	Trade ↗
Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?	Yes	40.0¢	$158	+$38	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	41.0¢	$141	-$24	Trade ↗
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	30.0¢	$134	+$16	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	36.0¢	$123	-$27	Trade ↗
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?	Yes	29.7¢	$121	-$46	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	66.6¢	$113	-$599	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	Yes	7.5¢	$112	+$62	Trade ↗
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	30.0¢	$112	-$69	Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	23.0¢	$105	+$59	Trade ↗
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	Yes	70.0¢	$102	-$183	Trade ↗
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	62.5¢	$100	+$3	Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	23.2¢	$99	-$45	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?	No	67.0¢	$98	+$15	Trade ↗
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	72.0¢	$93	+$3	Trade ↗
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?	No	99.1¢	$90	-$0	Trade ↗
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?	Yes	10.0¢	$87	+$29	Trade ↗
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	59.2¢	$86	+$29	Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	50.8¢	$78	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	4.8¢	$76	+$60	Trade ↗
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?	Yes	22.6¢	$75	-$50	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	28.0¢	$73	+$6	Trade ↗
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	69.0¢	$72	+$3	Trade ↗
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	68.4¢	$70	+$19	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	6.3¢	$70	+$63	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	19.0¢	$60	+$26	Trade ↗
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	6.7¢	$58	-$194	Trade ↗
Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	7.4¢	$56	-$78	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	40.0¢	$50	-$350	Trade ↗
Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	94.0¢	$48	-$3	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	10.2¢	$45	-$94	Trade ↗
Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	3.7¢	$41	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	10.0¢	$38	+$17	Trade ↗
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	No	31.0¢	$37	+$21	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	Yes	5.7¢	$35	-$106	Trade ↗
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?	Yes	24.4¢	$31	-$70	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	40.0¢	$31	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	16.0¢	$30	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	12.0¢	$25	+$7	Trade ↗
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	72.3¢	$23	+$5	Trade ↗
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?	No	40.0¢	$23	+$1	Trade ↗
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	22.0¢	$21	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	4.5¢	$20	-$40	Trade ↗
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	18.8¢	$19	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	0.9¢	$19	+$3	Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	76.0¢	$16	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	1.2¢	$15	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	0.7¢	$15	+$7	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?	Yes	15.0¢	$15	+$11	Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	56.8¢	$14	-$117	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	46.5¢	$13	-$18	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026?	Yes	0.7¢	$10	+$10	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
14d ago	Does Ox Alpha belong to Google?	BUY	No	99.2¢	$11,029