cqk

69Qualified whaleProven trader

0x736539924a5602b37a03a54fc12c1cc8f98964da· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$166,271

closed + open positions

Return on capital

10%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$63,794

Capital deployed

$1,602,586

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,029

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

126

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 15.4/30Return 8.7/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 69.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	82.5¢	$6,770	+$602	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	34.2¢	$5,126	+$798	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	49.3¢	$4,398	+$722	Trade ↗
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	31.2¢	$2,638	+$1,794	Trade ↗
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?	No	97.5¢	$2,300	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	13.2¢	$2,131	-$546	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	69.2¢	$2,111	+$296	Trade ↗
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	72.4¢	$1,894	-$52	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	13.7¢	$1,738	-$940	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	64.6¢	$1,705	-$520	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	77.9¢	$1,652	+$102	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	79.4¢	$1,571	+$241	Trade ↗
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	75.5¢	$1,514	+$258	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	6.7¢	$1,479	+$436	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	66.3¢	$1,469	+$380	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	33.3¢	$1,361	+$546	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	36.2¢	$1,318	+$690	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	19.0¢	$1,146	+$63	Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	23.4¢	$1,051	-$1,291	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	29.5¢	$889	+$186	Trade ↗
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?	Yes	14.9¢	$823	+$226	Trade ↗
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	10.4¢	$823	+$287	Trade ↗
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	Yes	18.0¢	$698	+$489	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?	No	69.0¢	$688	+$169	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	28.7¢	$687	-$1,285	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	Yes	85.8¢	$627	+$65	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	48.0¢	$624	-$336	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	Yes	17.3¢	$511	-$227	Trade ↗
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?	Yes	71.9¢	$504	+$69	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	76.4¢	$504	+$94	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	72.7¢	$497	+$15	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	90.0¢	$486	+$36	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	28.0¢	$480	-$1,200	Trade ↗
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	44.6¢	$479	+$223	Trade ↗
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	89.7¢	$443	+$25	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?	No	70.0¢	$437	+$69	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	19.6¢	$415	+$107	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	36.0¢	$413	-$516	Trade ↗
Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?	Yes	37.9¢	$393	+$183	Trade ↗
Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	60.2¢	$392	+$116	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	59.1¢	$377	+$54	Trade ↗
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	72.0¢	$354	-$510	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	Yes	7.5¢	$354	+$304	Trade ↗
Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?	Yes	37.4¢	$335	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	7.7¢	$320	-$60	Trade ↗
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?	No	70.0¢	$320	-$30	Trade ↗
Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?	Yes	61.0¢	$320	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	No	95.4¢	$292	+$6	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	No	61.8¢	$288	+$49	Trade ↗
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	No	40.6¢	$270	+$42	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	26.0¢	$260	$0	Trade ↗
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	14.4¢	$235	+$134	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	52.0¢	$230	+$104	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	9.4¢	$222	+$175	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	87.4¢	$222	+$16	Trade ↗
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?	Yes	23.8¢	$218	-$63	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	12.8¢	$190	-$608	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	41.0¢	$171	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	7.0¢	$168	+$92	Trade ↗
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	29.9¢	$149	-$30	Trade ↗
Kimi K4 released by March 31, 2027?	Yes	10.9¢	$147	+$85	Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	50.8¢	$147	+$19	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	36.0¢	$146	-$4	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by October 31?	Yes	17.0¢	$146	-$387	Trade ↗
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	71.8¢	$146	+$31	Trade ↗
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	28.3¢	$140	-$100	Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	51.0¢	$125	-$29	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	Yes	64.3¢	$122	-$220	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	86.0¢	$111	-$238	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1.2¢	$110	-$180	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	49.6¢	$109	-$218	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	19.0¢	$107	+$73	Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	23.2¢	$106	-$39	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	Yes	5.7¢	$98	-$42	Trade ↗
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?	No	99.1¢	$89	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	41.3¢	$83	+$19	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by December 31?	No	7.5¢	$76	+$58	Trade ↗
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	12.5¢	$75	+$27	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	55.0¢	$72	-$15	Trade ↗
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	33.9¢	$69	-$559	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?	No	67.0¢	$67	-$15	Trade ↗
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	73.1¢	$57	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	1.1¢	$51	-$83	Trade ↗
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	59.2¢	$50	-$7	Trade ↗
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	6.1¢	$50	+$18	Trade ↗
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?	Yes	10.0¢	$50	-$9	Trade ↗
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	68.4¢	$48	-$3	Trade ↗
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?	No	40.0¢	$47	-$19	Trade ↗
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	8.5¢	$47	-$296	Trade ↗
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	21.5¢	$46	-$384	Trade ↗
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?	Yes	24.4¢	$43	-$58	Trade ↗
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	44.3¢	$43	-$156	Trade ↗
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?	No	6.8¢	$42	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	16.7¢	$38	+$8	Trade ↗
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	No	31.0¢	$37	+$22	Trade ↗
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	30.0¢	$36	-$145	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	15.2¢	$28	-$36	Trade ↗
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	10.0¢	$25	+$5	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?	No	70.2¢	$25	+$4	Trade ↗
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	85.9¢	$25	-$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
60d ago	Does Ox Alpha belong to Google?	BUY	No	99.2¢	$11,029